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5 Lazy Brook Ln
B- Composite 67.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$799,000

5 Lazy Brook Ln · Zena, NY 12498
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,480 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 152 Days on market
Built 1960 0.61 ac lot Est $751k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEW NEW NEW! If you thought you have seen 5 Lazy Brook Lane, think again! This home is owned by a renowned architect and he has done a complete redesign! Mood, space, and finishes combine to create the ideal modern ranch. Coming to this 4 bedroom 3 bath home, you will first notice the new facade with white washed pine and a huge plate glass window where the unsightly bay window used to be. Now when you enter, you come into a large and sunny open concept living space. The old Mother/Daughter space is gone and a bright new kitchen has taken its place. The layout has been thoughtfully redesigned taking advantage of the room with a large island that is perfect for entertaining or that dreaded homework. Unleash your inner chef and hang out with friends and family while you create gastronomic delights! New hard wood flooring and LED recessed lights create the perfect ambiance to relax over a quiet dinner for two or to host a grand soiree. In the back of the former Mother/Daughter space there remains a large bedroom and the hall now boasts a huge new storage closet. What was formerly a second room has now been incorporated into the huge family room as an office, studio or even a gym! The family room remains spectacular with views out to the private garden with a designated dining space and a fantastic fire pit for cool Autumn evenings and s'mores! The yard is very private and partially wooded which gives you a sense that it is just you and your BBQ against the World! Back inside, the bathrooms have been updated with new or redesigned vanities and new lighting. The mirrors now have the perfect view! Along with the new design, this home has a new furnace and air conditioning to keep you at the perfect temperature no matter the season. Located just 5 minutes outside the center of the Village of Woodstock, you are close to dining, hiking, kayaking, great walks, shopping and all the art Woodstock has to offer. You are just 15 minutes from Kingston and the thruway for easy travel. You can come home again.

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Private back yard

Tags

QUIET CUL-DE-SACLARGE DINING AREASPACIOUS KITCHENNEW APPLIANCESENORMOUS ENTERTAINING ROOMPRIVATE BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Electric service provided by Central Hudson; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Patio; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Granite countertops; Pantry; Eat-in layout; Open to adjacent spaces
  • Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; In-law floorplan; Open kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom; Patio
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $799k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($54k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $799k).
  • Recommended offer: $703k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#966 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Kingston City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: E R Crosby Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 303 students, 61% FRL); Kingston High School (math 94% / reading 91%, grade A+, #153 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,856 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 45% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kingston City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($703k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $440k; list at $799k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $703,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
13.03%
Cash-on-cash
24.07%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$751,440
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5 Lazy Brook Ln 0.00mi 4/2.5 2,480 (0%) 13mo $440,000 $177 89
34 Forestwood Dr 0.66mi 4/2.5 2,489 (+0%) 3mo $480,000 $193 66
9 Fox Hollow Rd 0.30mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,527 (+2%) 21mo $1,085,000 $429 60
7 Maurizi Ln 0.65mi 4/2.5 2,352 (-5%) 7mo $885,000 $376 55
23 Maurizi Ln 0.60mi 4/2.5 2,320 (-6%) 11mo $703,000 $303 52
31 Carey Dr 0.75mi 4/2.5 2,548 (+3%) 14mo $699,000 $274 49
657 Zena Rd 0.50mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,801 (+13%) 12mo $2,000,000 $714 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$156,478
Equity at exit
$119,133
10-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$504,760
Equity at exit
$69,083

Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12498

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$12,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,190
Tax from tax record
$864 /mo · $10,368/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,625
Net cashflow
$4,488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,819
Max offer price $799,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4,940 -5% $4,714 +0% $4,488 +5% $4,262 +10% $4,036
Rent -10% $3,501 -5% $3,994 +0% $4,488 +5% $4,982 +10% $5,476
Rate -1.0pp $4,890 -0.5pp $4,691 base $4,488 +0.5pp $4,281 +1.0pp $4,070

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,750
Closing costs
$23,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
64 Meher Cir Woodstock, NY 4.0 3.0 2714 $12,500 $4.61 44d 1 0.73mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $799,000 Active 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $799,000 Active 151 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $799,000 Active 150 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $799,000 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $799,000 Active 148 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $799,000 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $799,000 Active 145 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$10,368 · $864/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,936 · $995/mo
Expected delta
+$1,567/yr (+$131/mo · 15.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$150,000
− Mortgage interest
−$44,756
− Property taxes
−$10,368
− Insurance
−$3,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$12,000
− Management
−$12,000
− Depreciation
−$23,244
Taxable income
$43,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10,473
After-tax cash flow
$43,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingston City School District
NCES district ID
3616290
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 20.00%
Median HH income
$52,586
Composite
44.22/100
National rank
#2849
State rank
#355 of 590 in NY

Livability — Zena

Score
60/100
State rank
#966
US rank
#18918

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Zena, NY
Population (ZIP)
4,530

Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,887 people
By 2030
171,876 · -2.3%
By 2040
161,771 · -8.0%
By 2050
151,470 · -13.9%
By 2075
133,023 · -24.4%
By 2100
113,504 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Italian 7% Romanian 5%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ulster

2024 margin
D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.28%
Current HPI
344.8651
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+856.9% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $799,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Delisted HVCRMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Contingent HVCRMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $599,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $649,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $699,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $699,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $699,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-16 Sold (MLS) $440,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-16 Sold (MLS) $440,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Pending HVCRMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-18 Contingent HVCRMLS
  • 2025-03-12 Listed $450,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-03-12 Listed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-10 Coming Soon $450,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Coming Soon $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-20 Price Changed $459,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-04 Price Changed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-16 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $499,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-27 Listed $409,000 HVCRMLS
  • 1990-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
  • 1986-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,368 · -8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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