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101 Golden Pond
B+ Composite 78.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

101 Golden Pond · Akron, NY 14001
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1993 Est $83k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in a well-maintained community. Offering a functional open-concept layout, the living room, dining area, and kitchen flow seamlessly together, creating a comfortable space for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite features a private ensuite bathroom with a walk-in shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Ample closet space throughout the home offers plenty of storage options. Enjoy additional living space in the enclosed back porch/sunroom, perfect for relaxing, hobbies, or enjoying the changing seasons. The attached 1.5-car garage

Key facts

  • Enclosed back porch
  • Extra storage
  • Ample closet space

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN SHOWERAMPLE CLOSET SPACEENCLOSED BACK PORCHEXTRA STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Resale/mobile-home park style living (land lease applies)
  • Financial info: Land lease payment (monthly)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association/land-lease fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Electric service (standard connections)
  • Home design: Single-story double wide mobile home; Titan (Champion) model; Vinyl siding; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Double wide body type
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Skylights; Sliding glass doors; Ceiling fans; Cathedral ceilings; Separate formal dining room; Separate formal living room; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Main level primary bedroom with bath; Living/dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 2.4% in Akron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in NY, #4,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Akron Central School District (town): math 56% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #272 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.30%
Cash-on-cash
32.18%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$82,824
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
179 Golden Pond 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+2%) 7mo $85,000 $58 89
62 Golden Pond Pkwy 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-5%) 16mo $70,000 $52 77
100 Golden Pond Est Blvd 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-7%) 1mo $57,000 $43 75
71 Golden Pond 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-2%) 12mo $75,000 $53 75
79 Golden Pond 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-7%) 3mo $94,900 $72 74
20 Golden Pond 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,213 (-15%) 2mo $52,000 $43 72
215 Golden Pond 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+4%) 10mo $108,000 $73 70
84 Pocono Park 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+10%) 2mo $108,000 $69 67
165 Golden Pond 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,372 (-4%) 15mo $79,900 $58 64
44 Belmont Rd 0.23mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,230 (-14%) 21mo $82,900 $67 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$22,088
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$62,229
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14001

Home prices YoY
-7.1%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $473/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $551
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$473 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$827 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$354/yr (+$30/mo · 74.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,581
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$473
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,166
− Management
−$1,166
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$5,477
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,314
After-tax cash flow
$4,983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Akron Central School District
NCES district ID
3602430
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$56,769
Composite
49.23/100
National rank
#2035
State rank
#272 of 590 in NY

Livability — Akron

Score
74/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#4809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,122

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.68%
Current HPI
322.1897
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $69,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $473 · +25.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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