420 Perkinswood Blvd NE · Warren, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy living in this charming one-level ranch home. Forget stairs and embrace convenience in this cozy abode featuring a comfortable living room, dedicated dining area and a functional kitchen. You'll find two bedrooms, a full bath and a handy utility/laundry room all thoughtfully arranged on a single level. A detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage. Step outside and enjoy the nice backyard with a relaxing patio and a grassy area perfect for outdoor activities. The location is unbeatable, putting you close to schools, the hospital, downtown attractions and convenient highway access. Built with unique all-metal construction, this home offers durability and low maintenance. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity for comfortable and convenient living.
Key facts
- Metal roofs
- Built-in shelving
- Lustron ranch home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Metal roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Built (year from public records); Vinyl siding construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.16 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; primary bedroom approx. 14' x 11' (main level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
- Interior features: Built-in features
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer present; Laundry located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.0% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#312 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, commute F, employment F.
- Warren City (urban): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #599 of 656 in OH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.95%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 420 Perkinswood Blvd NE | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,052 (0%) | 12mo | $78,000 | $74 | 90 |
| 191 Willard Ave NE | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 1,089 (+4%) | 10mo | $126,000 | $116 | 72 |
| 213 Kenmore Ave NE | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (+9%) | 6mo | $116,000 | $102 | 62 |
| 341 Kenmore Ave NE | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-12%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 424 Kenilworth Ave NE | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-4%) | 7mo | $35,263 | $35 | 56 |
| 604 Adelaide Ave NE | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+6%) | 10mo | $156,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 336 Willard Ave SE | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,136 (+8%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $114 | 55 |
| 200 Willard Ave SE | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,162 (+10%) | 8mo | $139,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 327 Adelaide | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+9%) | 6mo | $127,900 | $112 | 48 |
| 696 Meadowbrook Ave SE | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,140 (+8%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $132 | 42 |
| 174 Hazelwood Ave SE | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+14%) | 12mo | $144,527 | $120 | 39 |
| 1131 Guarnieri Dr NE | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,201 (+14%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $175 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-5,221
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $7,330
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44483
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $954 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,264/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259 Perkinswood Blvd NE Warren, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $845 | $1.14 | 13d | 3 | 0.16mi |
| 1216 Hollywood St NE Warren, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $1,050 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 840 Woodbine Ave SE Unit 838 Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 341 Charles AVE Warren, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2232 Youngstown Rd SE Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1826 Cranberry Ln NE Warren, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1389 | $920 | $0.66 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1151 Kenilworth Ave SE Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $900 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 407 Washington St NE Niles, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-23$89,000 Active
-
2025-06-30status Pending 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Welcome to easy living in this charming one-level ranch home. Forget stairs and embrace convenience in this cozy abode featuring a comfortable living room, dedicated dining area and a functional kitchen. You'll find two bedrooms, a full bath and a handy utility/laundry room all thoughtfully arranged on a single level. A detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage. Step outside and enjoy the nice backyard with a relaxing patio and a grassy area perfect for outdoor activities. The location is unbeatable, putting you close to schools, the hospital, downtown attractions and convenient highway access. Built with unique all-metal construction, this home offers durability and low maintenance. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity for comfortable and convenient living.
-
2025-06-26soldstatus $78,000 Closed 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Welcome to easy living in this charming one-level ranch home. Forget stairs and embrace convenience in this cozy abode featuring a comfortable living room, dedicated dining area and a functional kitchen. You'll find two bedrooms, a full bath and a handy utility/laundry room all thoughtfully arranged on a single level. A detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage. Step outside and enjoy the nice backyard with a relaxing patio and a grassy area perfect for outdoor activities. The location is unbeatable, putting you close to schools, the hospital, downtown attractions and convenient highway access. Built with unique all-metal construction, this home offers durability and low maintenance. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity for comfortable and convenient living.
-
2025-06-26soldstatus $78,000
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Welcome to easy living in this charming one-level ranch home. Forget stairs and embrace convenience in this cozy abode featuring a comfortable living room, dedicated dining area and a functional kitchen. You'll find two bedrooms, a full bath and a handy utility/laundry room all thoughtfully arranged on a single level. A detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage. Step outside and enjoy the nice backyard with a relaxing patio and a grassy area perfect for outdoor activities. The location is unbeatable, putting you close to schools, the hospital, downtown attractions and convenient highway access. Built with unique all-metal construction, this home offers durability and low maintenance. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity for comfortable and convenient living.
-
2025-05-12historical Contingent 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Welcome to easy living in this charming one-level ranch home. Forget stairs and embrace convenience in this cozy abode featuring a comfortable living room, dedicated dining area and a functional kitchen. You'll find two bedrooms, a full bath and a handy utility/laundry room all thoughtfully arranged on a single level. A detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage. Step outside and enjoy the nice backyard with a relaxing patio and a grassy area perfect for outdoor activities. The location is unbeatable, putting you close to schools, the hospital, downtown attractions and convenient highway access. Built with unique all-metal construction, this home offers durability and low maintenance. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity for comfortable and convenient living.
-
2025-05-05price $79,900 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Welcome to easy living in this charming one-level ranch home. Forget stairs and embrace convenience in this cozy abode featuring a comfortable living room, dedicated dining area and a functional kitchen. You'll find two bedrooms, a full bath and a handy utility/laundry room all thoughtfully arranged on a single level. A detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage. Step outside and enjoy the nice backyard with a relaxing patio and a grassy area perfect for outdoor activities. The location is unbeatable, putting you close to schools, the hospital, downtown attractions and convenient highway access. Built with unique all-metal construction, this home offers durability and low maintenance. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity for comfortable and convenient living.
-
2025-04-16$89,900 Active 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Welcome to easy living in this charming one-level ranch home. Forget stairs and embrace convenience in this cozy abode featuring a comfortable living room, dedicated dining area and a functional kitchen. You'll find two bedrooms, a full bath and a handy utility/laundry room all thoughtfully arranged on a single level. A detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage. Step outside and enjoy the nice backyard with a relaxing patio and a grassy area perfect for outdoor activities. The location is unbeatable, putting you close to schools, the hospital, downtown attractions and convenient highway access. Built with unique all-metal construction, this home offers durability and low maintenance. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity for comfortable and convenient living.
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2007-09-30historical
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2007-03-19$69,900
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2004-09-29historical
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2004-03-29$79,900
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1999-05-27soldstatus $62,500
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1997-12-29soldstatus $59,000
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1990-08-20soldstatus $27,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,264 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,326 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$62/yr (+$5/mo · 4.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,264
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$916
- − Management
- −$916
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $330
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren City
- NCES district ID
- 3904499
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,222
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8299
- State rank
- #599 of 656 in OH
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #5068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, OH
- County
- Trumbull County · 61,158 people
- City population
- 25,805
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,805
- Household income
- $49,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 989.0
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.50%
- Current HPI
- 218.3455
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+219.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $89,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-06-30 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2025-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2025-06-26 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-05-12 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-04-16 Listed $89,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-09-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-03-19 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2004-09-29 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2004-03-29 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 1999-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 1997-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1990-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $27,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,264 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…