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2911 Airport Rd
C- Composite 54.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,410

2911 Airport Rd · Portage, IN 46368
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
Built 2006 0.27 ac lot $153/sqft · 26% below area Est $325k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tri-Level home with 3 bedrooms 1 baths with 2 car garage.

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2006

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (8.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.0% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#111 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Portage Township Schools (suburban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #221 of 301 in IN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 542 units permitted in Porter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Porter County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $217,863 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.13%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$325,044
List price
$239,410
Delta
-26.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2962 Edith St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,608 (+3%) 9mo $310,000 $193 74
6428 Amanda Dr 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,700 (+9%) 2mo $369,000 $217 73
6458 Kristina Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,582 (+1%) 7mo $284,999 $180 69
6593 Timberwood Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+8%) 1mo $340,000 $202 67
6438 Satin Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,464 (-6%) 1mo $297,000 $203 58
2719 Charlotte St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,578 (+1%) 6mo $277,500 $176 58
3055 Ramblewood St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,760 (+13%) 8mo $290,000 $165 54
2819 Hamstrom Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,362 (-13%) 9mo $245,000 $180 53
6679 Joseph Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,597 (+2%) 9mo $280,000 $175 52
2708 Airport Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,351 (-13%) 6mo $239,000 $177 51
2738 Tecumseh St 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,456 (-7%) 4mo $230,000 $158 48
6198 Robbins Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-9%) 9mo $295,900 $209 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-24,793
Equity at exit
$35,697
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$4,839
Equity at exit
$20,700

Cash invested: $67,035 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46368

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,201 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,255
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,501/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,979
Max offer price $239,410
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,852
Closing costs
$7,182
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6387 Amanda Dr Portage, IN 4.0 3.0 2108 $2,600 $1.23 44d 1 0.33mi
2540 Promenade Way Portage, IN 3.0 2.0 1558 $2,488 $1.60 4d 1 0.81mi
2540 Promenade Way Portage, IN 2.0 2.0 1329 $2,299 $1.73 44d 1 0.81mi
3300 Portside Ct Portage, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 839 $1,439 $1.72 1d 6 0.93mi
3471 Sunnyside Dr Portage, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $1,940 $1.79 1d 11 1.11mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,410 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,410 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,410 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,410 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,410 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,410 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,410 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,410 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,410 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $239,410 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,410 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,410 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,410 Active 102 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,410 Active 101 DOM
  15. 2026-04-11
    price $239,410 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Tri-Level home with 3 bedrooms 1 baths with 2 car garage.

  16. 2026-04-09
    price $218,680 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Tri-Level home with 3 bedrooms 1 baths with 2 car garage.

  17. 2026-02-19
    listed $235,720 Active 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Tri-Level home with 3 bedrooms 1 baths with 2 car garage.

  18. 2025-08-29
    historical
  19. 2025-07-07
    historical
  20. 2025-07-07
    listed $274,900 Active
  21. 2025-03-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  22. 2025-01-28
    listed $279,000 Active
  23. 2025-01-26
    historical
  24. 2024-10-23
    price $279,000
  25. 2024-09-25
    listed $289,000 Active
  26. 2022-03-31
    soldstatus $250,000 Closed
  27. 2022-03-01
    status Pending
  28. 2022-02-25
    listed $220,000 Active
  29. 2009-02-02
    listed $164,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,501 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,501 · $208/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,407
− Mortgage interest
−$13,411
− Property taxes
−$2,501
− Insurance
−$1,197
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,113
− Management
−$2,113
− Depreciation
−$6,965
Taxable loss
−$1,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$454
After-tax cash flow
$2,551/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portage Township Schools
NCES district ID
1809150
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,880
Composite
27.37/100
National rank
#6978
State rank
#221 of 301 in IN

Livability — Portage

Score
72/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#5725

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portage, IN
County
Porter County · 151,647 people
City population
40,301
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
40,301
Household income
$76,368
Rent vs Own
26.6% rent · 73.4% own
Severe rent burden
856.0

Population outlook (Porter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,804 people
By 2030
181,552 · +2.1%
By 2040
185,830 · +4.5%
By 2050
187,498 · +5.5%
By 2075
189,585 · +6.6%
By 2100
183,722 · +3.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Porter

2024 margin
R (+10.5) · D 43.8% · R 54.3% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-17.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -10.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.5 2020: R+6.1 2016: R+6.8 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -195.94%
Current HPI
181.3254
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $239,410 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $218,680 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $235,720 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-29 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-07 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-07 Listed $274,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-27 Contingent NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $279,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-26 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-23 Price Changed $279,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-25 Listed $289,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-31 Sold (MLS) $250,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-01 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-25 Listed $220,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-02 Listed $164,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,501 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…