148 Mountain Ridge Mhp · Wilkes-Barre, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brand new 2026 Lake Manor model single-wide home featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths with a modern open layout. This move-in ready home offers a spacious living area, primary suite with private bath, and efficient low-maintenance living. Conveniently located in Wilkes-Barre close to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Lot rent is 350 a month and includes water and sewer. Park approval required
Key facts
- Spacious living area
- Private bath
- Primary suite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 5.6% in Wilkes-Barre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Solomon/Plains El Sch (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 712 students, 100% FRL); Solomon/Plains Ms (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #475 of 512 statewide, top 93%, 736 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 61% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.51%
- DSCR
- 2.36
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,160
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Mountain Rdg | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 896 (+7%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $67 | 77 |
| 28 Cardinal Ct | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+5%) | 16mo | $65,000 | $74 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $29,032
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.35×
- Total profit
- $97,396
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18702
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,421 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $570
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $625 | -5% $597 | +0% $570 | +5% $542 | +10% $514 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $457 | -5% $513 | +0% $570 | +5% $626 | +10% $682 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $610 | -0.5pp $590 | base $570 | +0.5pp $549 | +1.0pp $528 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 680 Wildflower Dr Wilkes-Barre, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $3,815 | $3.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 19 Center St Plains, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-03-16$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,364
- − Management
- −$1,364
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $5,913
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,419
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home is in excellent condition with new siding, flooring, and appliances. It offers a modern open layout and is conveniently located in Wilkes-Barre.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Add a small garden or flower bed near the front door — Improves curb appeal and adds aesthetic value
- Both Install a smart thermostat — Saves energy and appeals to buyers
- Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — Enhances curb appeal and safety
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Add a small garden or flower bed near the front door — Improves curb appeal and adds aesthetic value ↑
- Both Install a smart thermostat — Saves energy and appeals to buyers ↑
- Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226300
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,420
- Composite
- 21.22/100
- National rank
- #8409
- State rank
- #469 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wilkes-Barre
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- City population
- 73,981
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,970
- Household income
- $56,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1632.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.99%
- Current HPI
- 216.9373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.84%
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-03-16 Listed $80,000 LCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…