1320 Winters Dr · Portage, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity meets prime location with this well-positioned 3-unit investment property in the highly desirable Portage School district. Major groundwork has already been completed, including new separate electrical service panels with drop meter and extensive tree removal--setting the stage for a smooth and profitable investment. The main floor unit features comfortable, convenient living with 2 bedrooms, a cozy fireplace, in-unit laundry, and separately metered utilities. Upstairs, you'll find two additional 2-bedroom units--each offering sought-after amenities like bright sunrooms and attached garage parking, a rare find that attracts and retains quality tenants. One upper unit has been refreshed with new flooring and paint, while the other presents a value-add opportunity for customization and increased rental potential. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or entering the multi-family market, this property delivers immediate income potential with room to increase returns.
Key facts
- New flooring
- In-unit laundry
- Bright sunrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.9-bath single-family listed at $274k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $274k).
- Recommended offer: $258k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.3% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#90 in MI, #2,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Portage Public Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #67 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.3%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,454/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 462% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 36y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.76%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,227
- List price
- $274,000
- Delta
- 29.72%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5228 Ridgebrook Dr | 0.55mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 4,793 | 1mo | $765,500 | $160 | 54 |
| 2010 Winters Dr | 0.43mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 3,210 | 11mo | $345,000 | $107 | 52 |
| 5359 Woodmont Dr | 0.44mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 4,194 | 12mo | $450,000 | $107 | 52 |
| 1423 Hamelink Dr | 0.11mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 | 24mo | $350,000 | $179 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $13,763
- Equity at exit
- $40,854
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $146,951
- Equity at exit
- $23,691
Cash invested: $76,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49002
- Rents YoY
- 11.3%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,454 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,437
- Tax from tax record
- −$553 /mo · $6,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$725
- Net cashflow
- $624
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $779 | -5% $701 | +0% $624 | +5% $546 | +10% $469 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $351 | -5% $487 | +0% $624 | +5% $760 | +10% $897 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $762 | -0.5pp $693 | base $624 | +0.5pp $553 | +1.0pp $481 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,500
- Closing costs
- $8,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $274,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $274,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $274,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $274,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $274,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Opportunity meets prime location with this well-positioned 3-unit investment property in the highly desirable Portage School district. Major groundwork has already been completed, including new separate electrical service panels with drop meter and extensive tree removal--setting the stage for a smooth and profitable investment. The main floor unit features comfortable, convenient living with 2 bedrooms, a cozy fireplace, in-unit laundry, and separately metered utilities. Upstairs, you'll find two additional 2-bedroom units--each offering sought-after amenities like bright sunrooms and attached garage parking, a rare find that attracts and retains quality tenants. One upper unit has been refreshed with new flooring and paint, while the other presents a value-add opportunity for customization and increased rental potential. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or entering the multi-family market, this property delivers immediate income potential with room to increase returns.
-
2026-05-08price $274,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Opportunity meets prime location with this well-positioned 3-unit investment property in the highly desirable Portage School district. Major groundwork has already been completed, including new separate electrical service panels with drop meter and extensive tree removal--setting the stage for a smooth and profitable investment. The main floor unit features comfortable, convenient living with 2 bedrooms, a cozy fireplace, in-unit laundry, and separately metered utilities. Upstairs, you'll find two additional 2-bedroom units--each offering sought-after amenities like bright sunrooms and attached garage parking, a rare find that attracts and retains quality tenants. One upper unit has been refreshed with new flooring and paint, while the other presents a value-add opportunity for customization and increased rental potential. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or entering the multi-family market, this property delivers immediate income potential with room to increase returns.
-
2026-03-20$292,000 Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Opportunity meets prime location with this well-positioned 3-unit investment property in the highly desirable Portage School district. Major groundwork has already been completed, including new separate electrical service panels with drop meter and extensive tree removal--setting the stage for a smooth and profitable investment. The main floor unit features comfortable, convenient living with 2 bedrooms, a cozy fireplace, in-unit laundry, and separately metered utilities. Upstairs, you'll find two additional 2-bedroom units--each offering sought-after amenities like bright sunrooms and attached garage parking, a rare find that attracts and retains quality tenants. One upper unit has been refreshed with new flooring and paint, while the other presents a value-add opportunity for customization and increased rental potential. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or entering the multi-family market, this property delivers immediate income potential with room to increase returns.
-
2026-03-20$292,000 Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Opportunity meets prime location with this well-positioned 3-unit investment property in the highly desirable Portage School district. Major groundwork has already been completed, including new separate electrical service panels with drop meter and extensive tree removal--setting the stage for a smooth and profitable investment. The main floor unit features comfortable, convenient living with 2 bedrooms, a cozy fireplace, in-unit laundry, and separately metered utilities. Upstairs, you'll find two additional 2-bedroom units--each offering sought-after amenities like bright sunrooms and attached garage parking, a rare find that attracts and retains quality tenants. One upper unit has been refreshed with new flooring and paint, while the other presents a value-add opportunity for customization and increased rental potential. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or entering the multi-family market, this property delivers immediate income potential with room to increase returns.
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2025-01-10soldstatus $255,000 Closed
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2025-01-10soldstatus $255,000 Closed
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2024-12-17status Pending
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2024-12-02status Pending
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2024-12-02status Pending
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2024-11-19$250,000 Active
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2024-11-19$250,000 Active
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2022-06-14soldstatus $234,900
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2022-06-03soldstatus $234,900 Sold
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2022-06-03soldstatus $234,900 Sold
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2022-04-14status Pending
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2022-04-14status Pending
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2022-04-08$234,900 Active
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2022-04-08$234,900 Active
-
2014-10-17historical
-
2014-10-17historical
-
1992-10-26soldstatus $70,913
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1992-07-01$72,900
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1991-09-19$76,000
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1990-10-04$74,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,641 · $553/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,641 · $553/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,348
- − Property taxes
- −$6,641
- − Insurance
- −$1,370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,315
- − Management
- −$3,315
- − Depreciation
- −$7,971
- Taxable income
- $3,481
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$835
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,650/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portage Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2628950
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,322
- Composite
- 48.37/100
- National rank
- #2142
- State rank
- #67 of 540 in MI
Livability — Portage
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #2044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portage, MI
- County
- Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
- City population
- 50,560
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,737
- Household income
- $73,647
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 462.0
Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,982 people
- By 2030
- 292,068 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 312,191 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 331,196 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 379,021 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 396,579 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 9% Romanian 6% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.17%
- Current HPI
- 219.4489
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.29%
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+267.8% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $274,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $274,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $292,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $292,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-10 Sold (MLS) $255,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-10 Sold (MLS) $255,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-19 Listed $250,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-19 Listed $250,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $234,900 Public Records
- 2022-06-03 Sold (MLS) $234,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-06-03 Sold (MLS) $234,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-14 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-04-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-04-08 Listed $234,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-04-08 Listed $234,900 REALCOMP
- 2014-10-17 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-10-17 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 1992-10-26 Sold (MLS) $70,913 SW Michigan MLS
- 1992-07-01 Listed $72,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1991-09-19 Listed $76,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1990-10-04 Listed $74,500 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,641 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…