20661 Macel St · Roseville, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cash only opportunity in Roseville. Spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath colonial offering 1,640 square feet with a functional two story layout. Main level features generous living space, large room sizes, and plenty of potential for the right buyer ready to bring their vision. Situated on a 40 x 117 lot near Gratiot, 14 Mile, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Public water and sewer. Great chance for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. Immediate possession available. Cash only sale.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1969
- Listed 57 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.0% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
- Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 17% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $175k implies a 307% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.83%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,597
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -12.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20100 E 14 Mile Rd | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,680 (+2%) | 2mo | $188,500 | $112 | 82 |
| 20446 Williamson St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,493 (-9%) | 1mo | $202,000 | $135 | 70 |
| 20201 Colman St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+4%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $132 | 67 |
| 20217 14 Mile Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,422 (-13%) | 3mo | $177,500 | $125 | 63 |
| 33424 Cheryl St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,661 (+1%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $90 | 60 |
| 19631 Williamson St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,575 (-4%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $114 | 58 |
| 19633 14 Mile Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-6%) | 5mo | $112,000 | $73 | 56 |
| 19732 Voiland St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,872 (+14%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $99 | 48 |
| 20851 Elm Forest Ct | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,820 (+11%) | 7mo | $248,400 | $136 | 47 |
| 32315 Beaconsfield Street Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,475 (-10%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $156 | 46 |
| 19534 Heckman St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (-12%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $138 | 40 |
| 31915 St Margaret St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,822 (+11%) | 3mo | $167,000 | $92 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,650
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $7,311
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48066
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,138/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 444-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $175,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-05price $149,900 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Cash only opportunity in Roseville. Spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath colonial offering 1,640 square feet with a functional two story layout. Main level features generous living space, large room sizes, and plenty of potential for the right buyer ready to bring their vision. Situated on a 40 x 117 lot near Gratiot, 14 Mile, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Public water and sewer. Great chance for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. Immediate possession available. Cash only sale.
-
2026-05-05price $149,900 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Cash only opportunity in Roseville. Spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath colonial offering 1,640 square feet with a functional two story layout. Main level features generous living space, large room sizes, and plenty of potential for the right buyer ready to bring their vision. Situated on a 40 x 117 lot near Gratiot, 14 Mile, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Public water and sewer. Great chance for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. Immediate possession available. Cash only sale.
-
2026-05-04price $149,900
-
2026-04-22$150,000 Active 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Cash only opportunity in Roseville. Spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath colonial offering 1,640 square feet with a functional two story layout. Main level features generous living space, large room sizes, and plenty of potential for the right buyer ready to bring their vision. Situated on a 40 x 117 lot near Gratiot, 14 Mile, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Public water and sewer. Great chance for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. Immediate possession available. Cash only sale.
-
2026-04-22$150,000 Active 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Cash only opportunity in Roseville. Spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath colonial offering 1,640 square feet with a functional two story layout. Main level features generous living space, large room sizes, and plenty of potential for the right buyer ready to bring their vision. Situated on a 40 x 117 lot near Gratiot, 14 Mile, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Public water and sewer. Great chance for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. Immediate possession available. Cash only sale.
-
2026-04-22$150,000 Active
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Cash only opportunity in Roseville. Spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath colonial offering 1,640 square feet with a functional two story layout. Main level features generous living space, large room sizes, and plenty of potential for the right buyer ready to bring their vision. Situated on a 40 x 117 lot near Gratiot, 14 Mile, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Public water and sewer. Great chance for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. Immediate possession available. Cash only sale.
-
1988-09-02soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,138 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$778/yr (+$65/mo · 68.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,587
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,138
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $2,067
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$496
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,322/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roseville Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630210
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,590
- Composite
- 14.98/100
- National rank
- #9363
- State rank
- #483 of 540 in MI
Livability — Roseville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #6400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roseville, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 47,123
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,123
- Household income
- $62,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.95%
- Current HPI
- 217.4171
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+248.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1988-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2023): $1,138 · -43.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…