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45 T C Gordon Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

45 T C Gordon Rd · Tifton, GA 31793
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1941 0.45 ac lot $74/sqft · 25% below area Est $119k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2 bedroom 1 bath home is a good option for buyers looking for an economical option in a good location. It would also be a great addition to an investor's rental portfolio. Currently rented for $950/month for good ROI. Call today.

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 80 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$119,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.2% in Tifton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#69 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, commute F.
  • Tift County (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #96 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 176 units permitted in Tift County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tift County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $89k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.68%
Cash-on-cash
29.94%
DSCR
2.33
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,000
List price
$89,000
Delta
-25.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Palmetta Rd 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,260 (+5%) 4mo $119,000 $94 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$25,173
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$72,878
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31793

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $713/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$622

Break-even live

Break-even rent $713
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3103 Lincoln Dr Tifton, GA 3.0 2.0 1025 $1,500 $1.46 44d 1 0.82mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $89,000 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    This 2 bedroom 1 bath home is a good option for buyers looking for an economical option in a good location. It would also be a great addition to an investor's rental portfolio. Currently rented for $950/month for good ROI. Call today.

  17. 2025-07-02
    price $79,900
  18. 2025-03-12
    listed $89,000 Active
  19. 2024-07-03
    status Active
  20. 2024-05-24
    price $95,000
  21. 2024-05-24
    listed $90,000 Active
  22. 2023-03-14
    listed $90,000
  23. 2020-08-19
    soldstatus $30,000
  24. 2017-06-14
    listed $57,500
  25. 2012-02-03
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$713 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$819 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$106/yr (+$9/mo · 14.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$713
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$6,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,533
After-tax cash flow
$5,929/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tift County
NCES district ID
1304980
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,497
Composite
25.42/100
National rank
#7454
State rank
#96 of 174 in GA

Livability — Tifton

Score
72/100
State rank
#69
US rank
#6288

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
26,178
Population (ZIP)
10,276

Population outlook (Tift County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,250 people
By 2030
41,146 · -0.3%
By 2040
40,677 · -1.4%
By 2050
39,930 · -3.2%
By 2075
37,078 · -10.1%
By 2100
32,742 · -20.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% German 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tift

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 32.0% · R 67.7%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -32.8pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+32.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.04%
Current HPI
190.0421
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+178.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $89,000 TBOR
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $79,900 TBOR
  • 2025-03-12 Listed $89,000 TBOR
  • 2024-07-03 Relisted TBOR
  • 2024-05-24 Price Changed $95,000 TBOR
  • 2024-05-24 Listed $90,000 TBOR
  • 2023-03-14 Listed $90,000 TBOR
  • 2020-08-19 Sold (MLS) $30,000 TBOR
  • 2017-06-14 Listed $57,500 TBOR
  • 2012-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $713 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…