🏷️ Likely Rental
45 T C Gordon Rd · Tifton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bedroom 1 bath home is a good option for buyers looking for an economical option in a good location. It would also be a great addition to an investor's rental portfolio. Currently rented for $950/month for good ROI. Call today.
Key facts
- 0.45 acre lot
- Built 1941
- Listed 80 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.2% in Tifton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#69 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, commute F.
- Tift County (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #96 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 176 units permitted in Tift County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tift County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $89k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.94%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,000
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -25.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Palmetta Rd | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,260 (+5%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $94 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $25,173
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $72,878
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31793
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $713/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $622
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3103 Lincoln Dr Tifton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-31$89,000 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
This 2 bedroom 1 bath home is a good option for buyers looking for an economical option in a good location. It would also be a great addition to an investor's rental portfolio. Currently rented for $950/month for good ROI. Call today.
-
2025-07-02price $79,900
-
2025-03-12$89,000 Active
-
2024-07-03status Active
-
2024-05-24price $95,000
-
2024-05-24$90,000 Active
-
2023-03-14$90,000
-
2020-08-19soldstatus $30,000
-
2017-06-14$57,500
-
2012-02-03soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $713 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$106/yr (+$9/mo · 14.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$713
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $6,388
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,533
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,929/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tift County
- NCES district ID
- 1304980
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,497
- Composite
- 25.42/100
- National rank
- #7454
- State rank
- #96 of 174 in GA
Livability — Tifton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #6288
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 26,178
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,276
Population outlook (Tift County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,250 people
- By 2030
- 41,146 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 40,677 · -1.4%
- By 2050
- 39,930 · -3.2%
- By 2075
- 37,078 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 32,742 · -20.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tift
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 32.0% · R 67.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -32.8pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+32.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.04%
- Current HPI
- 190.0421
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+178.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $89,000 TBOR
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $79,900 TBOR
- 2025-03-12 Listed $89,000 TBOR
- 2024-07-03 Relisted — TBOR
- 2024-05-24 Price Changed $95,000 TBOR
- 2024-05-24 Listed $90,000 TBOR
- 2023-03-14 Listed $90,000 TBOR
- 2020-08-19 Sold (MLS) $30,000 TBOR
- 2017-06-14 Listed $57,500 TBOR
- 2012-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $713 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…