1006 Pine St · Berwick, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautiful updated three-bedroom, one full bath home offering modern comfort with classic charm. Recently remodeled from top to bottom this home features fresh finishes, updated flooring and bright inviting space throughout. Enjoy a covered 2nd floor porch-perfect for morning coffee, relaxing in the evening, or even potential for extra storage space. A convenient mudroom that helps
Key facts
- Convenient mudroom
- Updated flooring
- 2,614 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.4% in Berwick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#412 in PA, #3,762 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $155k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.37%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,682
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -6.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-10,488
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,614
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18603
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,532 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 400-char remark
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $158,960 Active 180 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $158,960 Active 179 DOM
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2026-04-08status Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful updated three-bedroom, one full bath home offering modern comfort with classic charm. Recently remodeled from top to bottom this home features fresh finishes, updated flooring and bright inviting space throughout. Enjoy a covered 2nd floor porch-perfect for morning coffee, relaxing in the evening, or even potential for extra storage space. A convenient mudroom that helps
-
2026-03-31status Pending 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful updated three-bedroom, one full bath home offering modern comfort with classic charm. Recently remodeled from top to bottom this home features fresh finishes, updated flooring and bright inviting space throughout. Enjoy a covered 2nd floor porch-perfect for morning coffee, relaxing in the evening, or even potential for extra storage space. A convenient mudroom that helps
-
2026-03-23price $158,960 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful updated three-bedroom, one full bath home offering modern comfort with classic charm. Recently remodeled from top to bottom this home features fresh finishes, updated flooring and bright inviting space throughout. Enjoy a covered 2nd floor porch-perfect for morning coffee, relaxing in the evening, or even potential for extra storage space. A convenient mudroom that helps
-
2025-11-24$168,960 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful updated three-bedroom, one full bath home offering modern comfort with classic charm. Recently remodeled from top to bottom this home features fresh finishes, updated flooring and bright inviting space throughout. Enjoy a covered 2nd floor porch-perfect for morning coffee, relaxing in the evening, or even potential for extra storage space. A convenient mudroom that helps
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2024-10-11soldstatus $59,210
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2007-11-20soldstatus $64,000
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1996-01-16soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,235 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,842 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$607/yr (+$51/mo · 49.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,389
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,235
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,471
- − Management
- −$1,471
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $244
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,704/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berwick Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203480
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,964
- Composite
- 37.36/100
- National rank
- #4433
- State rank
- #291 of 539 in PA
Livability — Berwick
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #412
- US rank
- #3762
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berwick, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,985
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,170 people
- By 2030
- 64,054 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 61,131 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 57,526 · -11.7%
- By 2075
- 50,259 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 44,756 · -31.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.40%
- Current HPI
- 211.5643
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+297.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-03-31 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $158,960 LCAR
- 2025-11-24 Listed $168,960 LCAR
- 2024-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $59,210 Public Records
- 2007-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 1996-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,235 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…