4721 2nd Ave N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Have you heard about what's happening in Woodlawn?! So many great things! Perfect time to make a move! This home is renovated & ready for new homeowners!! All electrical components rewired & new plumbing! This may also be a great starter home and/or a great investment!! No matter the current need: don't wait to buy real estate; buy real estate & wait! Act fast!
Key facts
- Renovated
- New plumbing
- 5,662 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $70k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.41%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,500
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -64.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 833 49th St N | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,231 (+1%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $162 | 77 |
| 829 49th St N | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (+9%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $155 | 65 |
| 832 49th St N | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (+9%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 837 49th St N | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (+9%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $151 | 63 |
| 4910 3rd Ave S | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $202 | 59 |
| 4501 6th Ave S | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,275 (+5%) | 0mo | $303,000 | $238 | 57 |
| 4405 5th Ave S | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,126 (-7%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $222 | 50 |
| 539 47th St S | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-7%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $304 | 49 |
| 616 52nd St S | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,355 (+11%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $155 | 47 |
| 620 49th St S | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,332 (+10%) | 2mo | $399,000 | $300 | 45 |
| 4400 6th Ave S | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,115 (-8%) | 2mo | $369,900 | $332 | 42 |
| 4105 7th Ave N | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,352 (+11%) | 4mo | $73,000 | $54 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $24,469
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $67,469
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35212
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $1,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $562
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 48th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $1,750 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 737 47th St N Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $750 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 821 50th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1416 | $1,523 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 941 47th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $950 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 934 47th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 233 52nd St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4345 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,800 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 813 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,285 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4108 7th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1101 47th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 620 52nd St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,750 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 712 47th Way S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,725 | $1.66 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 972 53rd St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $900 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 724 47th Way S Unit 1019289P Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $8,438 | $8.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1117 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $900 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4233 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4243 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4513 13th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 778 | $1,175 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1217 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4237 5th Ave S Unit 4241-H Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,115 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4237 5th Ave S Unit 4241-F Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,098 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4237 5th Ave S Unit 4237-E Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,135 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1601 48th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1017 Cahaba St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 936 54th St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1317 | $1,950 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1410 46th St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3920 11th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,025 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5811 2nd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1705 52nd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1214 | $1,100 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 137 59th St N Apt 6 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 137 59th St N Unit 3 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3833 6th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3827 6th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 573 61st St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 559 63rd St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4019 Glenwood Ave #1 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 868 | $1,635 | $1.88 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 901 38th St S Apt 2 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,930 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 6309 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $70,000 Pending 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$70,000 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Have you heard about what's happening in Woodlawn?! So many great things! Perfect time to make a move! This home is renovated & ready for new homeowners!! All electrical components rewired & new plumbing! This may also be a great starter home and/or a great investment!! No matter the current need: don't wait to buy real estate; buy real estate & wait! Act fast!
-
2024-09-11price $79,000
-
2024-07-31price $80,000
-
2024-07-24price $95,000
-
1986-11-21soldstatus $18,500
-
1976-12-01soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,000 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,000 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,000
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,983
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,436
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,308/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,160
- Household income
- $36,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 798.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.24%
- Current HPI
- 120.1264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+278.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-09-11 Price Changed $79,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-07-24 Price Changed $95,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1986-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
- 1976-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,000 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…