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10968 Ala Moana St
D Composite 42.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

10968 Ala Moana St · Diamondhead, MS 39525
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,836 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2006 8,276 sqft lot Est $277k · at est. $85/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

QUALITY CONSTRUCTION, 2 x 6 EXTERIOR WALLS, GRANITE, CUSTOM CABINETS, TILE, JACUZZI MBR, WOOD FLOORING W/ CARPET INLAY IN LIVING ROOM, BUILTIN DESK W/ GRANITE, CROWN MOLDING, ROUNDED SHEETROCK CORNERS, STEP CEILINGS IN LIVING AND MASTER, ARCHED DOOR OPENINGS,TWO CAR GARAGE,ALL BRICK.

Key facts

  • Eat in kitchen
  • Barn door
  • Trey ceiling

Tags

SPLIT BEDROOM PLANCERAMIC TILEEAT IN KITCHENINSIDE LAUNDRY ROOMTREY CEILINGBARN DOOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $85 monthly fee; Community amenities: boating, clubhouse, golf, hiking/walking trails, playground, pool, RV/boat storage, sports fields, tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Brick and stucco exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built information from assessor
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Screened porch; Private yard; Wood fencing in back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Double vanity
  • Bedrooms: Dining room noted as a main room
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Electric cooling; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Tray ceilings; Double vanity; His and hers closets; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer included; Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($791/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.9% in Diamondhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Hancock Elementary School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B, #22 of 375 statewide, top 6%, 639 students, 100% FRL); Hancock Middle School (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #39 of 179 statewide, top 22%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Hancock High School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #42 of 197 statewide, top 21%, 1,187 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,394 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.03%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,236
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9834 Pokai Way 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (+1%) 0mo $249,500 $135 72
9838 Ala Moana St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,614 (-12%) 1mo $299,900 $186 70
98167 Golf Club Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,779 (-3%) 7mo $239,900 $135 65
98177 Golf Club Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,751 (-5%) 9mo $265,000 $151 65
88154 Golf Club Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,775 (-3%) 2mo $279,000 $157 61
9912 Honomu Pl 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,050 (+12%) 1mo $310,000 $151 61
9958 Kahana St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,711 (-7%) 10mo $279,000 $163 61
9941 Hamakua St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,885 (+3%) 10mo $260,000 $138 60
97169 Kapalama Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 2,035 (+11%) 4mo $210,000 $103 55
99114 Koloa St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,569 (-14%) 1mo $109,000 $69 54
9817 Pokai Way 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,561 (-15%) 6mo $235,000 $151 47
9920 Honalo Pl 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,092 (+14%) 10mo $325,000 $155 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-40,450
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-30,165
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39525

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,244 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $781/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$85
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$471
Net cashflow
$66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,161
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $222 -5% $144 +0% $66 +5% $-12 +10% $-90
Rent -10% $-111 -5% $-23 +0% $66 +5% $155 +10% $243
Rate -1.0pp $204 -0.5pp $136 base $66 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
289 Highpoint Dr Diamondhead, MS 2.0 2.5 1340 $1,700 $1.27 15d 1 0.94mi
250 Highpoint Dr Unit 250 Diamondhead, MS 2.0 2.5 1367 $2,500 $1.83 23d 1 1.00mi
250 Highpoint Dr Diamondhead, MS 2.0 2.5 1367 $2,500 $1.83 45d 1 1.00mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$85 · $1,020/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 344-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $275,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$781 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,172 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$1,391/yr (+$116/mo · 178.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,927
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$781
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,154
− Management
−$2,154
− HOA
−$1,020
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$3,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$951
After-tax cash flow
$1,742/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hancock County School District
NCES district ID
2801740
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$47,971
Composite
38.88/100
National rank
#4099
State rank
#23 of 130 in MS

Livability — Diamondhead

Score
68/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#9320

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Diamondhead, MS
County
Hancock County · 9,338 people
City population
9,338
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
9,338
Household income
$87,407
Rent vs Own
10.3% rent · 89.7% own

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,161 people
By 2030
54,753 · +5.0%
By 2040
59,242 · +13.6%
By 2050
62,417 · +19.7%
By 2075
68,168 · +30.7%
By 2100
69,212 · +32.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.77%
Current HPI
193.4883
Rent YoY
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+2015.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $275,000 MLSU
  • 2007-04-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-04-13 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2007-01-26 Listed $249,900 MLSU
  • 2006-09-15 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-07-29 Listed $13,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $781 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…