2060 Saras Way · Brookshire, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Maple is a beautiful one-story home with an open floor plan located within the community of Crystal Lakes. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home comes complete with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy efficient appliances, spacious countertops, wood cabinets, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. The Maple showcases a master suite complete with a walk-in closet, large family room, a fully fenced backyard and front yard landscaping.
Key facts
- 6,743 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2018
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowner association (Inframark); Annual association fee; Community amenities include playground, park, and trails; Curbs in community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces west; Built in 2018
- Construction: Cement siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Deck; Back yard fence; Subdivision lot setting; Concrete road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms (10x10, 10x10, 13x14)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Separate shower; Programmable thermostat; Insulated doors; Low-emissivity windows; Ventilation for improved indoor air quality; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room (6x5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-542/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (1.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#960 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Royal ISD (rural): math 23% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #744 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Royal El (math 27% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,247 of 4,322 statewide, top 76%, 762 students, 78% FRL); Royal J H (math 22% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,341 of 1,662 statewide, top 82%, 593 students, 73% FRL); Royal H S (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 842 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1014 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 483 units permitted in Waller County in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Waller County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.86%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,600
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -6.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5004 Sycamore Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (0%) | 1mo | $214,900 | $133 | 91 |
| 980 Lake View Cir W | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (0%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $151 | 86 |
| 1000 Walnut Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (0%) | 19mo | $220,000 | $136 | 81 |
| 2072 Saras Way | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (0%) | 23mo | $252,500 | $156 | 79 |
| 977 Lake View Cir W | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (0%) | 20mo | $249,900 | $154 | 76 |
| 34502 Park Grn | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (-4%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $138 | 76 |
| 34503 Park Grn | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+4%) | 6mo | $218,990 | $130 | 75 |
| 34534 Park Vw | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (+10%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $114 | 69 |
| 34706 Lake Side Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (-7%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $159 | 66 |
| 1622 Dove Run | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,480 (-9%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $169 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-45,650
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -26.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-67,816
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77423
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 1014
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,216 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$486 /mo · $5,831/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$36
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $-45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $82 | -5% $18 | +0% $-45 | +5% $-109 | +10% $-173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-220 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-45 | +5% $42 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $68 | -0.5pp $12 | base $-45 | +0.5pp $-104 | +1.0pp $-163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 Walnut Ln Brookshire, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1761 | $1,941 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 523 Solomon Ln Brookshire, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1516 | $3,480 | $2.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4441 South St Brookshire, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1846 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $36 · $432/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $225,000 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-05-08$225,000 Active 715-char remark
-
2018-08-15soldstatus Sold 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
The Maple is a beautiful one-story home with an open floor plan located within the community of Crystal Lakes. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home comes complete with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy efficient appliances, spacious countertops, wood cabinets, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. The Maple showcases a master suite complete with a walk-in closet, large family room, a fully fenced backyard and front yard landscaping.
-
2018-07-18status Pending, Continue to Show 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
The Maple is a beautiful one-story home with an open floor plan located within the community of Crystal Lakes. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home comes complete with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy efficient appliances, spacious countertops, wood cabinets, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. The Maple showcases a master suite complete with a walk-in closet, large family room, a fully fenced backyard and front yard landscaping.
-
2018-07-18status Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
The Maple is a beautiful one-story home with an open floor plan located within the community of Crystal Lakes. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home comes complete with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy efficient appliances, spacious countertops, wood cabinets, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. The Maple showcases a master suite complete with a walk-in closet, large family room, a fully fenced backyard and front yard landscaping.
-
2018-07-11status Pending, Continue to Show 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
The Maple is a beautiful one-story home with an open floor plan located within the community of Crystal Lakes. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home comes complete with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy efficient appliances, spacious countertops, wood cabinets, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. The Maple showcases a master suite complete with a walk-in closet, large family room, a fully fenced backyard and front yard landscaping.
-
2018-06-22$183,900 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
The Maple is a beautiful one-story home with an open floor plan located within the community of Crystal Lakes. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home comes complete with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy efficient appliances, spacious countertops, wood cabinets, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. The Maple showcases a master suite complete with a walk-in closet, large family room, a fully fenced backyard and front yard landscaping.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,831 · $486/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,831 · $486/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$5,831
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − HOA
- −$432
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$4,203
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,009
- After-tax cash flow
- $466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Royal ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838190
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,059
- Composite
- 19.55/100
- National rank
- #8760
- State rank
- #744 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brookshire
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #960
- US rank
- #17059
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookshire, TX
- County
- Waller County · 18,767 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,767
- Household income
- $84,490
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20.0
Population outlook (Waller County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 60,772 people
- By 2030
- 67,616 · +11.3%
- By 2040
- 82,283 · +35.4%
- By 2050
- 98,276 · +61.7%
- By 2075
- 142,860 · +135.1%
- By 2100
- 175,596 · +188.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Waller
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -25.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.28%
- Current HPI
- 204.8709
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.01%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+22.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $225,000 HARMLS
- 2018-08-15 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2018-07-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-07-18 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2018-07-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-06-22 Listed $183,900 HARMLS
Property tax history
+56.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,831 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…