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1406 Pike Ave
C- Composite 53.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$135,000

1406 Pike Ave · Phil Campbell, AL 35581
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1965 0.60 ac lot $84/sqft · 18% below area Est $160k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch! Sitting on approximately 0.6 of an acre, this property features a durable metal roof, spacious yard, and plenty of opportunity to make it your own. Whether you’re looking for an investment property, starter home, or your next project, this one offers endless possibilities. Home is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Metal roof
  • Investment property

Tags

METAL ROOFSPACIOUS YARDINVESTMENT PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions listed as: 1406 Pike Ave Phil Campbell
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property; Not new construction
  • Construction: 1,570 living area (square feet)
  • Exterior features: 0.6-acre lot; Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Window cooling units (2+)
  • Interior features: Crawl space; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($810/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#361 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Franklin County (rural): math 17% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #84 of 129 in AL (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Phil Campbell Elementary School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #323 of 627 statewide, top 52%, 424 students, 72% FRL); Phil Campbell High School (math 6% / reading 27%, grade F, #209 of 305 statewide, top 69%, 448 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $432 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,722 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.14%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,344
List price
$135,000
Delta
-15.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1440 Pike Ave 0.03mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,416 (-12%) 2mo $134,000 $95 70
1185 Pike Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,694 (+5%) 11mo $170,000 $100 69
1247 Pike Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-6%) 15mo $137,800 $91 66
87 Jackson St 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,508 (-6%) 2mo $174,900 $116 60
9 Steele St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,710 (+6%) 23mo $169,900 $99 54
3793 Broad St 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,849 (+15%) 13mo $260,000 $141 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,331
Equity at exit
$41,376
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$27,353
Equity at exit
$51,507

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35581

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $421/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,012
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    listed $135,000 Active 389-char remark
  19. 2025-12-30
    soldstatus $471,100
  20. 2020-07-27
    soldstatus $74,600
  21. 2017-02-23
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$421 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$554 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$132/yr (+$11/mo · 31.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,167
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$421
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,053
− Management
−$1,053
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$366
After-tax cash flow
$1,176/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County
NCES district ID
0101590
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,979
Composite
22.08/100
National rank
#8187
State rank
#84 of 129 in AL

Livability — Phil Campbell

Score
58/100
State rank
#361
US rank
#21096

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phil Campbell, AL
City population
6,271
Population (ZIP)
6,271

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,545 people
By 2030
31,335 · -0.7%
By 2040
30,983 · -1.8%
By 2050
30,744 · -2.5%
By 2075
30,173 · -4.3%
By 2100
29,478 · -6.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.3) · D 13.0% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: -39.2pp · 2024: -73.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.3 2020: R+65.9 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+40.5 2008: R+39.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.32%
Current HPI
171.0186
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $135,000 VMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $471,100 Public Records
  • 2020-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $74,600 Public Records
  • 2017-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+65.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $421 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…