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51578 Golden Eagle Dr
D+ Composite 47.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,000

51578 Golden Eagle Dr · Indio, CA 92201
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,342 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 2021 3,049 sqft lot $297/sqft · 20% below area Est $498k · 20% under $245/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled behind the prestigious gates of Trilogy Polo Club, this elevated Muros Resort Collection residence blends modern luxury with effortless desert living, showcasing plank tile flooring, upgraded white soft-close cabinetry, custom interior doors, and designer touches throughout its open-concept layout. The entertainer's kitchen shines with stainless steel appliances, a 5-burner gas range, prep island with bar seating, granite slab surfaces, a Frigidaire refrigerator/freezer, custom subway tile backsplash, and a sleek single-basin sink. The spa-inspired primary suite features an oversized shower with bench seating, dual undermount sinks, and upgraded fixtures, while the open office area

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2021

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: CC&R and homeowners association disclosures available; Short-term rentals not allowed; Will not consider lease
  • Financial info: Rental restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $245; Association covers clubhouse, security, concierge; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, banquet facilities, billiard room, card room, meeting room, guest parking, tennis courts, sport court, elevators, pickleball courts, community mailbox; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces (side-by-side); Garage door opener; Direct garage entrance
  • Security: 24-hour security; Gated community
  • Utilities: Water: Indio Water Authority (water district); Sewer: connected and paid; PUD: Yes
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Attached property; Built by Shea Homes
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Tile roof; Slab foundation; Year built (per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio with rock/stone finish; Block fencing; Sprinkler system; Close to clubhouse; Underground utilities; 24-hour security; Gated community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island; Granite slab counters; Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Exhaust fan; Water line to refrigerator; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Master retreat; Walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double vanities; Shower stall; Shower over tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings (9 ft+); Recessed lighting; Sliding doors; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Gas availability

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($296/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $380k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $380k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 76% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,801/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2036% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $380,118 (4.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.26%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$498,160
List price
$399,000
Delta
-19.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51725 Ponderosa Dr 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,342 (0%) 2mo $475,000 $354 96
51655 Ponderosa Dr 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,342 (0%) 4mo $425,000 $317 96
51621 Golden Eagle Dr 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,342 (0%) 5mo $400,000 $298 93
51675 Ponderosa Dr 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,342 (0%) 6mo $410,000 $306 93
51585 Ponderosa Dr 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,342 (0%) 11mo $420,000 $313 89
51700 Golden Eagle Dr 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,294 (-4%) 4mo $380,000 $294 87
51570 Ponderosa Dr 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,294 (-4%) 13mo $479,900 $371 80
51735 Ponderosa Dr 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,294 (-4%) 15mo $515,000 $398 78
51721 Golden Eagle Dr 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,294 (-4%) 15mo $470,000 $363 76
51389 Longmeadow St 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,437 (+7%) 11mo $500,000 $348 72
51600 Rainwater Ct 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,448 (+8%) 16mo $610,000 $421 65
50380 Timber Creek Way 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,448 (+8%) 2mo $500,000 $345 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-61,589
Equity at exit
$59,492
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-45,435
Equity at exit
$34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92201

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
514
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,801 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$475 /mo · $5,696/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$245
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$798
Net cashflow
$25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,770
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
51520 Golden Eagle Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1294 $3,995 $3.09 44d 1 0.03mi
82803 Spirit Mountain Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1437 $5,000 $3.48 44d 1 0.06mi
51710 Ponderosa Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1294 $5,500 $4.25 24d 1 0.07mi
51811 Golden Eagle Dr Chiriaco Summit, CA 2.0 2.0 1294 $2,850 $2.20 44d 1 0.17mi
82820 Kingsboro Ln Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1399 $4,800 $3.43 44d 1 0.24mi
50880 Monterey Canyon Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1847 $3,200 $1.73 44d 1 0.36mi
50715 Monterey Canyon Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1622 $5,600 $3.45 44d 1 0.43mi
51805 Pinnacle Vista Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1622 $3,000 $1.85 44d 1 0.53mi
51805 Pinnacle Vista Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1622 $3,000 $1.85 5d 1 0.53mi
82900 Temescal Canyon Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1622 $3,800 $2.34 44d 1 0.66mi
51580 Whiptail Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.5 1678 $3,300 $1.97 44d 1 0.77mi
51660 Whiptail Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1678 $3,200 $1.91 22d 1 0.78mi
51670 Whiptail Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1542 $3,000 $1.95 18d 1 0.78mi
49549 Lewis Rd Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1853 $4,200 $2.27 44d 1 1.03mi
82223 Travolta Ave Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1808 $5,000 $2.77 44d 1 1.23mi
82633 Odlum Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1833 $3,200 $1.75 44d 1 1.24mi
49142 Barrymore St Indio, CA 2.0 2.5 1773 $2,775 $1.57 12d 1 1.25mi
82297 Cochran Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 982 $3,200 $3.26 44d 1 1.25mi
82154 Travolta Ave Indio, CA 2.0 3.0 1619 $3,000 $1.85 44d 1 1.28mi
49058 Wayne St Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1156 $4,000 $3.46 5d 1 1.29mi
49058 Wayne St Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1156 $4,000 $3.46 44d 1 1.29mi
49225 Eisenhower Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1168 $2,800 $2.40 44d 1 1.35mi
49181 Eisenhower Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1368 $4,250 $3.11 44d 1 1.37mi
48957 Heifitz Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1833 $4,600 $2.51 44d 1 1.37mi
82013 Cochran Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1796 $3,300 $1.84 44d 1 1.37mi
82294 Bergman Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 982 $3,200 $3.26 44d 1 1.40mi
82186 Bergman Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1140 $2,500 $2.19 44d 1 1.43mi
48842 Biery St Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1833 $3,200 $1.75 44d 1 1.44mi
49153 Garland Rd Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1655 $2,850 $1.72 17d 1 1.45mi
48638 Hepburn Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1732 $5,800 $3.35 44d 1 1.46mi
82191 Ullman Rd Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1446 $2,250 $1.56 18d 1 1.46mi
49133 Garland Rd Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1776 $2,950 $1.66 44d 1 1.46mi
49120 Cochran Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1655 $2,850 $1.72 44d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$245 · $2,940/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $399,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    historical
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $399,000 Active 1271-char remark
  17. 2026-02-08
    listed $399,000 Active
  18. 2026-02-01
    historical
  19. 2025-09-13
    listed $419,500 Active
  20. 2025-09-01
    historical
  21. 2025-07-13
    price $419,500
  22. 2025-06-30
    status Active
  23. 2025-06-18
    historical Active Under Contract
  24. 2025-05-25
    price $429,500
  25. 2025-04-13
    listed $449,500 Active
  26. 2025-04-01
    historical
  27. 2025-02-15
    price $484,900
  28. 2025-01-02
    listed $499,000 Active
  29. 2025-01-01
    historical
  30. 2024-10-01
    historical
  31. 2024-05-24
    listed $514,900 Active
  32. 2024-05-24
    listed $525,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,696 · $475/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,696 · $475/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,614
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$5,696
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,649
− Management
−$3,649
− HOA
−$2,940
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$6,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,505
After-tax cash flow
$1,801/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coachella Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0609070
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,683
Composite
14.62/100
National rank
#9408
State rank
#481 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indio, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
65,825
Household income
$66,758
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
2036.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.46%
Current HPI
348.6605
Rent YoY
▲ 3.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $399,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Listed $399,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2025-09-13 Listed $419,500 GPSMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2025-07-13 Price Changed $419,500 GPSMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Relisted GPSMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Contingent GPSMLS
  • 2025-05-25 Price Changed $429,500 GPSMLS
  • 2025-04-13 Listed $449,500 GPSMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2025-02-15 Price Changed $484,900 GPSMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $499,000 GPSMLS
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2024-10-01 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2024-05-24 Listed $525,000 GPSMLS
  • 2024-05-24 Listed $514,900 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+75.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,696 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…