3535 Linda Vista Dr #59 · San Marcos, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey, 3-section, Hallmark home. Fabulous value, estate sale, SELLERS VERY MOTIATED. Home appears to be in lovely condition, shows pride of ownership. Real curb appeal! Attractive entry of slumpstone steps up to a large covered porch. Home is fully drywalled, has vaulted ceilings thruout, neutral decor. Spacious living room boasts lots of windows, all with new blinds. Bright, cheery kitchen w/ skylight & breakfast/serving bar. Fresh paint. Both bedrooms are over-sized. Master has double walk-in closet [Supplement]: Bonus! The living room is fully equipted surround sound. This is a wonderful 5-star, 55+ park with so much to enjoy. A real friendly neighborhood full of active people. Lovely clubhouse, sparkling pool and inviting spa. So many activities to enjoy if one chooses. Retire in style!
Key facts
- 2,400 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $740
- HOA & community: Part of an association; Monthly association fee; Senior community; Park name: Rancho Vallecitos; Manager approval required; Pets allowed with size and number limits; Curbs in the community
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space; One carport space; Located in Rancho Vallecitos park
- Utilities: Cable connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Mobile home (20' x 60') remains on site; Model 30855T5; Single-story; Entry at main level
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Front porch; Deck; Awning; Rain gutters; Exterior lighting; Community pool; One shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Water heater unit
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the lower/main level; Primary bedroom on the main floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Main floor primary bedroom; Primary suite with primary bathroom; Walk-in closet; Utility room; Has a spa
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included; Gas dryer hookup; Individual laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $890 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $251k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.5% in San Marcos — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#80 in CA, #3,074 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
- San Marcos Unified (suburban): math 52% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #249 of 1,400 in CA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 232 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $259k implies a 403% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.73%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $336,822
- List price
- $259,000
- Delta
- -23.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3535 Linda Vista Dr Spc 29 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-1%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $174 | 97 |
| 3535 Linda Vista Dr #50 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-6%) | 1mo | $358,000 | $262 | 89 |
| 1930 W San Marcos Blvd #374 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-1%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $267 | 86 |
| 1930 W San Marcos Blvd #191 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+2%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $208 | 83 |
| 3535 Linda Vista Dr #321 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $205 | 81 |
| 3535 Linda Vista Dr #255 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,624 (+12%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $175 | 79 |
| 1930 W San Marcos Blvd #437 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,531 (+5%) | 2mo | $475,000 | $310 | 73 |
| 650 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd #312 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 1mo | $267,000 | $199 | 69 |
| 650 S Rancho Santa Fe. Rd #294 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 2mo | $228,500 | $170 | 68 |
| 1930 W San Marcos Blvd #425 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $238 | 68 |
| 650 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd #54 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $208 | 57 |
| 2010 W San Marcos Blvd #54 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 1mo | $684,999 | $510 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $5,964
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $44,113
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92078
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 232
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,392 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$712
- Net cashflow
- $890
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3919 Las Cruces Ave San Marcos, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 658 Las Flores Dr San Marcos, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $3,650 | $2.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3815 La Rosa Dr San Marcos, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $3,700 | $3.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3834 La Rosa Dr Unit A San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $4,200 | $4.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2010 W San Marcos Blvd San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $4,000 | $3.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1643 Rue de Valle San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1086 | $3,222 | $2.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 830 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd San Marcos, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 826 | $3,150 | $3.81 | 3d | 5 | 0.58mi |
| 603 Beverly Pl San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1068 | $3,150 | $2.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 910 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd Unit 1 San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,900 | $3.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1635 Creek St San Marcos, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $3,450 | $3.29 | 15d | 3 | 0.74mi |
| 1029 Martina Ct San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,995 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1241 W San Marcos Blvd San Marcos, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $2,400 | $2.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 420 Smilax Rd San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $2,445 | $2.73 | 3d | 3 | 1.07mi |
| 1560 Circa Del Lago Unit D304 San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $4,500 | $4.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1560 Circa Del Lago Unit D302 San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $4,500 | $4.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 320 Smilax Rd San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,675 | $3.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 320 Smilax Rd San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,675 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 300 Smilax Rd Unit 11 San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,675 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 266 Avenida de Suerte San Marcos, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $3,495 | $3.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1257 Armorlite Dr San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1189 | $4,330 | $3.64 | 2d | 24 | 1.32mi |
| 920 Sycamore Ave Vista, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,675 | $2.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1052 Kendale Way Vista, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1576 | $3,795 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 221 Smilax Rd Vista, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $2,799 | $3.27 | 2d | 8 | 1.39mi |
| 2206 Saltbush Dr San Marcos, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1781 | $4,000 | $2.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1045 Armorlite Dr San Marcos, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 902 | $3,398 | $3.77 | 2d | 16 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $259,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $269,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $279,000 1475-char remark
-
2026-04-29$290,000 Active 1475-char remark
-
2011-02-18soldstatus $51,500 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Turnkey, 3-section, Hallmark home. Fabulous value, estate sale, SELLERS VERY MOTIATED. Home appears to be in lovely condition, shows pride of ownership. Real curb appeal! Attractive entry of slumpstone steps up to a large covered porch. Home is fully drywalled, has vaulted ceilings thruout, neutral decor. Spacious living room boasts lots of windows, all with new blinds. Bright, cheery kitchen w/ skylight & breakfast/serving bar. Fresh paint. Both bedrooms are over-sized. Master has double walk-in closet [Supplement]: Bonus! The living room is fully equipted surround sound. This is a wonderful 5-star, 55+ park with so much to enjoy. A real friendly neighborhood full of active people. Lovely clubhouse, sparkling pool and inviting spa. So many activities to enjoy if one chooses. Retire in style!
-
2010-12-01price $59,500
-
2010-10-08$59,500 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Turnkey, 3-section, Hallmark home. Fabulous value, estate sale, SELLERS VERY MOTIATED. Home appears to be in lovely condition, shows pride of ownership. Real curb appeal! Attractive entry of slumpstone steps up to a large covered porch. Home is fully drywalled, has vaulted ceilings thruout, neutral decor. Spacious living room boasts lots of windows, all with new blinds. Bright, cheery kitchen w/ skylight & breakfast/serving bar. Fresh paint. Both bedrooms are over-sized. Master has double walk-in closet [Supplement]: Bonus! The living room is fully equipted surround sound. This is a wonderful 5-star, 55+ park with so much to enjoy. A real friendly neighborhood full of active people. Lovely clubhouse, sparkling pool and inviting spa. So many activities to enjoy if one chooses. Retire in style!
-
2010-09-29historical
-
2010-09-29historical
-
2010-07-05price $65,000
-
2010-05-21price $79,700
-
2010-03-05price $82,900
-
2009-11-11$65,000
-
2009-11-11$65,000
-
1989-12-26soldstatus $51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$3,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,257
- − Management
- −$3,257
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable income
- $6,974
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,674
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Marcos Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634880
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,752
- Composite
- 53.67/100
- National rank
- #3093
- State rank
- #249 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Marcos
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #80
- US rank
- #3074
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Marcos, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 100,940
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,605
- Household income
- $120,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1594.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 17% Asian 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -351.55%
- Current HPI
- 358.3294
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.35%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+407.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $259,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $269,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $279,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $290,000 CRMLS
- 2011-02-18 Sold (MLS) $51,500 CRMLS
- 2010-12-01 Price Changed $59,500 SDMLS
- 2010-10-08 Listed $59,500 CRMLS
- 2010-09-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2010-09-29 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2010-07-05 Price Changed $65,000 SDMLS
- 2010-05-21 Price Changed $79,700 SDMLS
- 2010-03-05 Price Changed $82,900 SDMLS
- 2009-11-11 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
- 2009-11-11 Listed $65,000 SDMLS
- 1989-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-14.2%/yrLatest (2013): $447 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…