1224 Heddon Ave · Paulsboro, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,600
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity for investors, contractors, or flippers! This two-story Colonial in Paulsboro offers great bones, classic curb appeal, and endless potential with the right updates. Condition: This property needs a full renovation — bring your tools and vision. With the right improvements, this home could shine as a profitable flip or long-term rental. Location Highlights: Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, and parks, with easy access to Route 295, Route 130, and the Commodore Barry Bridge. Just minutes from Philadelphia and major South Jersey employment centers. Why You’ll Love It: ✔ Solid structure and desirable Colonial layout ✔ Strong rental demand in th
Key facts
- Two story colonial
- Full renovation
- 6,200 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.1% in Paulsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#445 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Paulsboro School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #455 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $841 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.39%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,728
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1224 Heddon Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (0%) | 1mo | $121,600 | $131 | 99 |
| 1221 Walter Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+6%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $258 | 84 |
| 1217 Berkley Rd | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (-6%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $265 | 79 |
| 1638 S Delaware St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $187 | 68 |
| 256 Morton Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+9%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $256 | 59 |
| 318 W Buck St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,017 (+10%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $226 | 56 |
| 206 W Adams St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+3%) | 12mo | $189,000 | $197 | 52 |
| 344 W Washington | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $223 | 52 |
| 1032 Ladner Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $303 | 49 |
| 311 W Washington St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+13%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $210 | 41 |
| 372 W Washington St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 18mo | $260,000 | $258 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,013
- Equity at exit
- $18,131
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $27,958
- Equity at exit
- $10,514
Cash invested: $34,048 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08066
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,715 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$638
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,121/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $392 | -5% $357 | +0% $323 | +5% $289 | +10% $254 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $188 | -5% $255 | +0% $323 | +5% $391 | +10% $459 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $384 | -0.5pp $354 | base $323 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,400
- Closing costs
- $3,648
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1152 Berkley Rd Gibbstown, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,850 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 401-409 Elizabeth Ave Paulsboro, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,672 | $2.09 | 1d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 221 Berkley Rd Paulsboro, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,650 | $2.20 | 1d | 7 | 0.47mi |
| 322 W Washington St Paulsboro, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,875 | $2.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $121,600
-
2026-03-06status Active
-
2026-01-22status Pending
-
2026-01-06price $156,750
-
2025-12-30price $145,350
-
2025-11-05$153,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,121 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,121 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,811
- − Property taxes
- −$4,121
- − Insurance
- −$608
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,646
- − Management
- −$1,646
- − Depreciation
- −$3,537
- Taxable income
- $2,209
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$530
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulsboro School District
- NCES district ID
- 3412720
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,261
- Composite
- 13.46/100
- National rank
- #9521
- State rank
- #455 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Paulsboro
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #16559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paulsboro, NJ
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,760
- Household income
- $65,070
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 304.0
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Armenian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.33%
- Current HPI
- 337.4363
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
-20.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $121,600 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $156,750 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $145,350 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $153,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,121 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…