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5040 Jackson St #135
B Composite 74.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,000

5040 Jackson St #135 · North Highlands, CA 95660
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Manufactured · 254 Days on market
Built 1972 $68/sqft · 10% below area Est $60k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is not an April Fools Joke! Get 1 month of space rent paid with and accepted offer in March!! Welcome to Lamplighter a 55+ community park! Enjoy the clubhouse, pool, playground for the grandchildren, off-street parking and professional on site management. This affordable two bedroom has a nice bump out making it feel even bigger. Home has had some recent updates but could use a little more TLC to make it shine. Priced accordingly. Huge lot potential. Credit score of 650 and have a gross monthly income of $2,925. This is a fantastic price for this home! Space rent is $1,150

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Pool
  • Off-street parking

Tags

CLUBHOUSEPOOLPLAYGROUNDOFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $54k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $54k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.41%
Cap rate
30.57%
Cash-on-cash
86.69%
DSCR
4.86
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,771
List price
$54,000
Delta
-9.65%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3650 Ohio Ln #82 0.45mi 2/1.0 784 (-2%) 2mo $80,000 $102 74
5040 Jackson St #18 0.02mi 2/2.0 880 (+10%) 6mo $110,000 $125 74
4215 Ticonderoga Ln 0.38mi 2/1.0 750 (-6%) 10mo $54,900 $73 64
7 4th St 0.44mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 3mo $30,000 $42 61
4127 Chesapeake Ln #122 0.38mi 2/1.0 900 (+12%) 15mo $47,000 $52 49
5050 Roseville Rd Unit F4 0.48mi 2/2.0 840 (+5%) 22mo $30,000 $36 47
4211 Ticonderoga 0.37mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 24mo $50,000 $69 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
90.2%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$65,958
Equity at exit
$8,052
10-year hold
IRR
93.8%
Equity multiple
12.20×
Total profit
$169,292
Equity at exit
$4,669

Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95660

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,841 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$283
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $677/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$1,092

Break-even live

Break-even rent $458
Max offer price $54,000
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,500
Closing costs
$1,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5123 Shell St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 912 $1,950 $2.14 2d 1 0.13mi
3800 Madison Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 524 $1,500 $2.86 2d 7 0.22mi
5061 Shell St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,000 $2.67 2d 1 0.26mi
3731 Scallop Ct North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 924 $2,150 $2.33 44d 1 0.26mi
4008 Tricia Way North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 12d 1 0.33mi
4020 Tricia Way Unit 4688001002 North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 44d 1 0.34mi
5119 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 592 $1,250 $2.11 2d 1 0.35mi
5416 Jackson St North Highlands, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 720 $1,750 $2.43 2d 30 0.36mi
4930 Polk St North Highlands, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 938 $1,795 $1.91 2d 3 0.46mi
5520 Harrison St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 735 $1,478 $2.01 7d 1 0.50mi
3669 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 1.0 1.0 620 $1,245 $2.01 2d 2 0.56mi
3609 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,795 $1.99 2d 2 0.59mi
5516 Palmdale Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1115 $2,250 $2.02 20d 1 0.60mi
3652 McClellan Dr North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,650 $2.20 2d 1 0.65mi
3517 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 3d 1 0.67mi
5625 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 875 $2,150 $2.46 2d 1 0.68mi
4215 Palm Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,660 $2.14 2d 3 0.75mi
4605 Cyclamen Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,695 $1.95 2d 1 0.85mi
4358 Greenholme Dr #9 Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 844 $1,695 $2.01 3d 1 0.85mi
5733 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 925 $2,195 $2.37 2d 1 0.87mi
5001 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1106 $2,400 $2.17 2d 1 0.91mi
4552 Ashcroft Ave Unit 36D Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 2d 1 0.91mi
4561 Ashcroft Ave Unit 52 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 2d 1 0.91mi
4561 Ashcroft Ave Apt 49 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 888 $1,499 $1.69 2d 1 0.91mi
5800 Hamilton St Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 823 $1,770 $2.15 2d 4 0.93mi
5614 Hillsdale Blvd Unit A Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.5 933 $1,450 $1.55 22d 1 0.94mi
5048 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,588 $1.59 44d 1 0.94mi
4909 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $1,750 $2.37 44d 1 0.98mi
5011 Bremner Way #2 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 2d 1 0.99mi
5011 Bremner Way #3 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 24d 1 0.99mi
4728 Amber Ln Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 730 $1,900 $2.60 19d 1 1.00mi
5008 Bremner Way #3 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 2d 1 1.03mi
5674 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.5 933 $1,600 $1.71 2d 1 1.04mi
4549 Greenholme Dr #2 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 840 $2,000 $2.38 3d 1 1.05mi
6037 N Haven Dr North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 884 $2,150 $2.43 2d 1 1.10mi
5600 Walerga Rd #4 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 924 $1,700 $1.84 2d 1 1.10mi
5728 Luce Ave McClellan Park, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0 1058 $2,120 $2.00 2d 3 1.14mi
5415 College Oak Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,725 $2.03 2d 3 1.14mi
4661 Orange Grove Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 24d 2 1.15mi
4815 Mary Kate Dr Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 44d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,000 Active 254 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,000 Active 253 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,000 Active 252 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,000 Active 251 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,000 Active 249 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,000 Active 248 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,000 Active 245 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,000 Active 244 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,000 Active 243 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,000 Active 239 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,000 Active 238 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,000 Active 237 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,000 Active 236 DOM
  14. 2008-07-23
    soldstatus $21,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$677 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$677 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,092
− Mortgage interest
−$3,025
− Property taxes
−$677
− Insurance
−$270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,767
− Management
−$1,767
− Depreciation
−$1,571
Taxable income
$13,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,124
After-tax cash flow
$9,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Rivers Unified
NCES district ID
0601332
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,481
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#11437
State rank
#970 of 1400 in CA

Livability — North Highlands

Score
61/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#17613

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Highlands, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
56,900
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,451
Household income
$68,235
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
1300.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Scandinavian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -273.83%
Current HPI
438.1022
Rent YoY
▲ 5.69%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2008-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $21,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $677 · +424.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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