5357 NW Oak Ave · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is a remodel, to include new kitchen cabinets, granite, stainless steel appliances and refrigerator. Total new bathroom. Home was gutted to studs, new electric upgrade, new HVAC system. Beautiful flooring.
Key facts
- New carpet
- Granite counters
- 7,280 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 total parking space; 1-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric service
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Updated/remodeled; Brick veneer construction
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built or updated (recently remodeled)
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof; Public maintained road; City street frontage; Lot dimensions 56 x 130; Lot approximately 0.167 acres; R-1 single family zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Range hood; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Pantry; Granite counters; Double pane windows; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #667 of 845 statewide, top 82%, 476 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Ms (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #90 of 345 statewide, top 27%, 1,035 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Hs (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #215 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 1,350 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.83%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,995
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5369 NW Oak Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-5%) | 7mo | $63,000 | $70 | 83 |
| 5341 NW Glenn Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (-2%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $145 | 82 |
| 6111 NW Maple Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $70 | 75 |
| 406 NW 56th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+0%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $116 | 71 |
| 704 NW 57th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (+6%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 5333 NW Euclid Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-5%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $113 | 69 |
| 6118 NW Euclid Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (+5%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $91 | 64 |
| 6102 NW Euclid Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $85 | 63 |
| 407 NW Compass Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (+6%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 1502 NW 48th St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 1mo | $84,343 | $84 | 52 |
| 6814 NW Willow Springs Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-5%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $96 | 51 |
| 6808 NW Willow Springs Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-5%) | 3mo | $87,000 | $97 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,767
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $42,308
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73505
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 398
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,204/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-14status Active
-
2026-05-14price $94,900
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-14price $97,500
-
2026-03-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-06status Pending
-
2026-02-10status Active
-
2026-02-10price $95,000
-
2026-01-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-25price $99,900
-
2025-11-07$110,000 Active
-
2023-08-05historical
-
2023-03-31soldstatus $94,000 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Home is a remodel, to include new kitchen cabinets, granite, stainless steel appliances and refrigerator. Total new bathroom. Home was gutted to studs, new electric upgrade, new HVAC system. Beautiful flooring.
-
2022-08-15$99,500 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Home is a remodel, to include new kitchen cabinets, granite, stainless steel appliances and refrigerator. Total new bathroom. Home was gutted to studs, new electric upgrade, new HVAC system. Beautiful flooring.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,204 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,204 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,204
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $2,288
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$549
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,790
- Household income
- $58,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1986.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.88%
- Current HPI
- 169.4524
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-4.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $94,900 LBRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $97,500 LBRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Pending — LBRMLS
- 2026-02-10 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $95,000 LBRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $99,900 LBRMLS
- 2025-11-07 Listed $110,000 LBRMLS
- 2023-08-05 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $94,000 LBRMLS
- 2022-08-15 Listed $99,500 LBRMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,204 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…