🏷️ Likely Rental
10500 Lake June Rd Unit I02 · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own a tenant occupied 2-bedroom, 1.5 bath condo. Competitively priced and conveniently located near shopping and major highways. Both bedrooms are upstairs, half bath downstairs. Showings by appointment only
Key facts
- 7.74 acre lot
- Built 1984
- Listed 143 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.96%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,863
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -67.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $8,541
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $25,441
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75217
- Home prices YoY
- -4.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,572 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $354
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10500 Lake June Rd Unit E07 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1141 | $1,195 | $1.05 | 7d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 10500 Lake June Rd Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1141 | $1,172 | $1.03 | 6d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 10410 Cymbal Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1415 Amity Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,780 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 912 Carom Way Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,765 | $1.53 | 7d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10121 Muskogee Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1381 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2812 Cottonwood Ln Balch Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,450 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 810 Pleasant Hills Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,799 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1705 Allentown Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10206 Shayna Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9807 Tamalpais Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,985 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10503 Leroy Ct Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,941 | $1.55 | 7d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10315 Limestone Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9605 Kittyhawk Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $2,200 | $2.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10328 Chelmsford Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1939 Naira Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2041 New Haven Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1362 | $1,720 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 9645 Limestone Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $2,000 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9921 Cedar Mountain Cir Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1937 Red Cloud Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,695 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11405 S Blossom Cir Balch Springs, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,500 | $1.63 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 10320 Nantucket Village Ct Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,645 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11802 James Dr Balch Springs, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2255 Nantucket Village Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,625 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2315 Summit Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2255 W Bruton Rd Mesquite, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,568 | $1.64 | 43d | 12 | 1.30mi |
| 10216 Blackjack Oaks Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,865 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 9415 Bruton Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $924 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $69,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-01-25$85,000 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Great opportunity to own a tenant occupied 2-bedroom, 1.5 bath condo. Competitively priced and conveniently located near shopping and major highways. Both bedrooms are upstairs, half bath downstairs. Showings by appointment only
-
2003-07-09soldstatus
-
2003-05-08historical
-
2003-04-10$40,000
-
1992-11-24soldstatus
-
1988-04-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,377 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,377 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$2,377
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,510
- − Management
- −$1,510
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $3,656
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$877
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 85,028
- Household income
- $55,723
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2649.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 34% Black 20% White 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 68%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 65% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.04%
- Current HPI
- 382.5527
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.02%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+112.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-25 Listed $85,000 NTREIS
- 2003-07-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-05-08 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2003-04-10 Listed $40,000 NTREIS
- 1992-11-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-04-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,377 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…