3506 Brownell Blvd · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 86 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.9% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 20 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask is 2930% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 77.01%
- DSCR
- 4.43
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $26,220
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3622 Winona St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 697 (+1%) | 11mo | $54,900 | $79 | 85 |
| 3506 Brownell Blvd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-13%) | 1mo | $22,500 | $38 | 77 |
| 3420 Fleming Road Rd | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 636 (-8%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $79 | 74 |
| 3221 Burgess St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 755 (+9%) | 3mo | $15,900 | $21 | 69 |
| 2713 Brownell Blvd | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $48 | 68 |
| 1713 W Dartmouth St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+4%) | 5mo | $69,900 | $97 | 66 |
| 3721 Trumbull Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 742 (+8%) | 15mo | $25,000 | $34 | 66 |
| 3501 Fleming Rd | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 764 (+11%) | 12mo | $25,000 | $33 | 64 |
| 2101 W Dartmouth St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (+5%) | 17mo | $26,000 | $36 | 61 |
| 2632 Landon St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 740 (+7%) | 17mo | $18,500 | $25 | 53 |
| 3171 W Dartmouth St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (+6%) | 12mo | $58,000 | $79 | 47 |
| 3501 Milbourne Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (+9%) | 19mo | $24,000 | $32 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $24,592
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- 80.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.34×
- Total profit
- $58,381
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48504
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $825 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $732/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $456 | +0% $449 | +5% $442 | +10% $435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $384 | -5% $417 | +0% $449 | +5% $482 | +10% $514 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $462 | -0.5pp $456 | base $449 | +0.5pp $443 | +1.0pp $436 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3506 Brownell Blvd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $825 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.02mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-05-21$825
-
2026-04-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-04-25status Pending 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-02-09status Active
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-02-09status Back on Market 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-01-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-01-02status Pending 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2025-12-22$25,000 Active
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2025-12-22$25,000 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint with basement. Property needs rehabbed. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2010-12-06historical
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2010-12-06historical
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2010-12-06historical
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2010-12-06historical
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2010-12-06historical
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2010-12-06historical
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2005-01-12soldstatus $27,000
-
2004-02-11historical
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2003-11-12$34,888
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2003-11-12$34,888
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2003-08-20$34,888
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2003-08-20$34,888
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2003-08-20historical
-
2003-08-17historical
-
2003-07-21$34,900
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2003-07-21$34,900
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2003-06-02$34,900
-
2003-06-02historical
-
2003-06-02$34,900
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2003-03-24$39,900
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2003-03-24$39,900
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2003-03-24historical
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2003-02-17$39,900
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2003-02-17historical
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2003-02-17$39,900
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2003-02-11soldstatus $11,500
-
2003-01-29soldstatus $11,500
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2003-01-29soldstatus $11,500
-
2003-01-07historical
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2002-09-30$11,500
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2002-09-30$11,500
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2000-10-19soldstatus $14,000
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1997-06-13soldstatus $14,000
-
1997-03-30$15,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $732 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $732 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$732
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$792
- − Management
- −$792
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $5,331
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,280
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,873
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.67%
- Current HPI
- 94.3111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+57.2% since first listed43 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed for Rent $825 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-09 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-09 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-22 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-11-12 Listed $34,888 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-11-12 Listed $34,888 REALCOMP
- 2003-08-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-20 Listed $34,888 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-20 Listed $34,888 REALCOMP
- 2003-08-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-07-21 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-07-21 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-06-02 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-06-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-06-02 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-03-24 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-03-24 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-02-17 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-02-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-02-17 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
- 2003-01-29 Sold (MLS) $11,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-29 Sold (MLS) $11,500 REALCOMP
- 2003-01-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-09-30 Listed $11,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-09-30 Listed $11,500 REALCOMP
- 2000-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-13 Sold (MLS) $14,000 REALCOMP
- 1997-03-30 Listed $15,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $732 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…