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7 Echo Valley Dr
B+ Composite 77.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,900

7 Echo Valley Dr · Kingston, PA 18708
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured public records · 240 Days on market
Built 1979 Est $50k · 15% under ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly renovated 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home featuring brand new kitchen cabinets, completely remodeled bathroom, new flooring throughout, new walls and ceilings with a fresh, modern interior finish located in the beautiful Back Mountain. Convenient parking in front of mobile home (see 2nd photo)Community & Lot Features: Lot rent includes water

Key facts

  • Back mountain
  • Mobile home
  • Built 1979

Tags

MOBILE HOMEBACK MOUNTAIN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $43k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 5.0% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#162 in PA, #1,345 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Dallas SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #97 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $37,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.03%
Cap rate
26.70%
Cash-on-cash
72.87%
DSCR
4.24
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$50,232
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 Cardinal Cir 0.15mi 2/1.0 700 (-4%) 19mo $48,000 $69 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.6%
Equity multiple
4.29×
Total profit
$39,528
Equity at exit
$6,397
10-year hold
IRR
76.5%
Equity multiple
8.85×
Total profit
$94,325
Equity at exit
$3,709

Cash invested: $12,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18708

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,299 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$225
Tax est. 1.5%
$54 /mo · $644/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$729

Break-even live

Break-even rent $375
Max offer price $42,900
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,725
Closing costs
$1,287
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
121 N Main St Shavertown, PA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,400 $2.00 13d 1 0.88mi
125 N Main St Shavertown, PA 1.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 13d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,900 Active 240 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,900 Active 239 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,900 Active 238 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,900 Active 237 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $42,900 Active 235 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $42,900 Active 234 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $42,900 Active 232 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,900 Active 231 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,900 Active 230 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,900 Active 229 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,900 Active 224 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,900 Active 223 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,900 Active 222 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $42,900 Active 221 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    price $42,900 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Newly renovated 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home featuring brand new kitchen cabinets, completely remodeled bathroom, new flooring throughout, new walls and ceilings with a fresh, modern interior finish located in the beautiful Back Mountain. Convenient parking in front of mobile home (see 2nd photo)Community & Lot Features: Lot rent includes water

  16. 2026-04-09
    price $50,000 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Newly renovated 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home featuring brand new kitchen cabinets, completely remodeled bathroom, new flooring throughout, new walls and ceilings with a fresh, modern interior finish located in the beautiful Back Mountain. Convenient parking in front of mobile home (see 2nd photo)Community & Lot Features: Lot rent includes water

  17. 2026-01-21
    price $54,900 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Newly renovated 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home featuring brand new kitchen cabinets, completely remodeled bathroom, new flooring throughout, new walls and ceilings with a fresh, modern interior finish located in the beautiful Back Mountain. Convenient parking in front of mobile home (see 2nd photo)Community & Lot Features: Lot rent includes water

  18. 2025-11-14
    price $60,000 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Newly renovated 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home featuring brand new kitchen cabinets, completely remodeled bathroom, new flooring throughout, new walls and ceilings with a fresh, modern interior finish located in the beautiful Back Mountain. Convenient parking in front of mobile home (see 2nd photo)Community & Lot Features: Lot rent includes water

  19. 2025-10-21
    listed $65,000 Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Newly renovated 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home featuring brand new kitchen cabinets, completely remodeled bathroom, new flooring throughout, new walls and ceilings with a fresh, modern interior finish located in the beautiful Back Mountain. Convenient parking in front of mobile home (see 2nd photo)Community & Lot Features: Lot rent includes water

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,584
− Mortgage interest
−$2,403
− Property taxes
−$644
− Insurance
−$214
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,247
− Management
−$1,247
− Depreciation
−$1,248
Taxable income
$8,581
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,060
After-tax cash flow
$6,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas SD
NCES district ID
4207200
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,760
Composite
48.4/100
National rank
#2138
State rank
#97 of 539 in PA

Livability — Kingston

Score
81/100
State rank
#162
US rank
#1345

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
31,149
Population (ZIP)
9,063

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Scotch-Irish 3% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.60%
Current HPI
239.7587
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $42,900 LCAR
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $50,000 LCAR
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $54,900 LCAR
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $60,000 LCAR
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $65,000 LCAR

Property tax history

-17.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $50 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…