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1610 W Bay Dr
D+ Composite 45.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$7,000

1610 W Bay Dr · Largo, FL 33770
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 465 sqft · SingleFamily · 93 Days on market
Built 1965 6.01 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cozy 55+ Home Close to the Beach Largo Available in West Bay Oaks Mobile Home Park, this 1974 31 ft trailer with an 8 x 25 addition offers a comfortable, affordable place to live in a quiet active adult community with lots of mature oak trees and located close to the beach, shopping, entertainment and transpotation. We also allow 1 cat and 1 dog. Inside youll find a spacious living area in the step-down addition with lots of windows, bringing in plenty of natural light. The bedroom can accommodate a queen-size bed, and the home includes a nice-sized bathroom. A washer and dryer are located at the back of the addition for convenience. The park is ideally located in Largo, just a short d

Key facts

  • Shopping centers
  • Spacious living area
  • Washer and dryer

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING AREANATURAL LIGHTWASHER AND DRYERCLOSE TO THE BEACHSHOPPING CENTERSMEDICAL FACILITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: House; 465 square feet living area
  • Construction: Listed in 2026
  • Exterior features: Approximately 6.01-acre lot

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $7k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $999 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $7k).
  • Recommended offer: $6k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 177.5% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $48 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $210 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $6,370 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
18.93%
Cap rate
177.47%
Cash-on-cash
611.35%
DSCR
28.20
GRM
0.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
30.90×
Total profit
$58,599
Equity at exit
$1,044
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
61.20×
Total profit
$117,991
Equity at exit
$605

Cash invested: $1,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33770

Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,325 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$37
Tax est. 1.5%
$9 /mo · $105/yr
Insurance
$3
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$999

Break-even live

Break-even rent $61
Max offer price $7,000
Occupancy floor 20%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,750
Closing costs
$210
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $7,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $7,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $7,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $7,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $7,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $7,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $7,000 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $7,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $7,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $8,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $8,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $8,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-03-17
    listed $8,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,902
− Mortgage interest
−$392
− Property taxes
−$105
− Insurance
−$35
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,272
− Management
−$1,272
− Depreciation
−$204
Taxable income
$12,622
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,029
After-tax cash flow
$8,953/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Largo

Score
82/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1240

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Largo, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
106,311
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,368
Household income
$59,815
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
1404.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -317.05%
Current HPI
353.8484
Rent YoY
▼ -3.47%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $8,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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