Duplex
141 E High St · Lake Pocotopaug, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 41.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$499,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This two family is a great find.Walk to private beach and boat docking on lake pocotopaug.Ones side is new in 2009 with an office in lower level 2 full baths on both sides first floor open floor plan. Very convient to rt.2
Key facts
- Close to the lake
- Private entrance
- Lakeside community
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer connection; Above-ground oil tank
- Home design: Multi-family (2-family) property
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Built as a multi-family residence
- Exterior features: Deck; Rolling lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Oil-fired hot water
- Interior features: Nine total rooms; Full basement with partial finish and walk-out; Attic with storage space accessed via hatch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $804 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $402/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $500k).
- Recommended offer: $440k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#130 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D, amenities F.
- East Hampton School District (town): math 43% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #70 of 153 in CT (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 21635% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $220k; list at $500k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.90%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $438,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 E High St | 0.00mi | 4/4.0 | 2,000 (0%) | 1mo | $437,750 | $219 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-29,840
- Equity at exit
- $74,537
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $39,730
- Equity at exit
- $43,222
Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06424
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 16.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,107 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$400 /mo · $4,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,072
- Net cashflow
- $804
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,087 | -5% $946 | +0% $804 | +5% $663 | +10% $521 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $401 | -5% $603 | +0% $804 | +5% $1,006 | +10% $1,208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,056 | -0.5pp $931 | base $804 | +0.5pp $675 | +1.0pp $543 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $5,108 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $2,554 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $2,554 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,107 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,975
- Closing costs
- $14,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-27status Under Contract
-
2026-04-08price $499,900
-
2026-03-20historical $2,300
-
2025-12-18$2,300
-
2025-12-03price $524,900
-
2025-12-03$542,900 Active
-
2011-04-07soldstatus $220,000 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
This two family is a great find.Walk to private beach and boat docking on lake pocotopaug.Ones side is new in 2009 with an office in lower level 2 full baths on both sides first floor open floor plan. Very convient to rt.2
-
2011-04-01soldstatus $220,000
-
2011-03-03$225,000 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
This two family is a great find.Walk to private beach and boat docking on lake pocotopaug.Ones side is new in 2009 with an office in lower level 2 full baths on both sides first floor open floor plan. Very convient to rt.2
-
2010-09-08historical
-
2010-03-09$250,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,805 · $400/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,751 · $646/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,946/yr (+$246/mo · 61.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 41% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $61,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,002
- − Property taxes
- −$4,805
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,903
- − Management
- −$4,903
- − Depreciation
- −$14,543
- Taxable income
- $1,629
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$391
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,260/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Hampton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901230
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $91,846
- Composite
- 47.55/100
- National rank
- #2265
- State rank
- #70 of 153 in CT
Livability — Lake Pocotopaug
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #14714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Pocotopaug, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,401
Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 188,651
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.67%
- Current HPI
- 190.1694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $499,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-20 Rental Removed $2,300 Avail
- 2025-12-18 Listed for Rent $2,300 Avail
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $524,900 Smart MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $542,900 Smart MLS
- 2011-04-07 Sold (MLS) $220,000 Smart MLS
- 2011-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2011-03-03 Listed $225,000 Smart MLS
- 2010-09-08 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2010-03-09 Listed $250,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2022): $4,805 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…