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5012 NE Tradewinds Cir
D Composite 41.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0

$287,990

5012 NE Tradewinds Cir · Port LaBelle, FL 33935
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,550 sqft · Land · 21 Days on market
Built 2026 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Lot close to schools. Ready to Build!!

Key facts

  • Dual vanities
  • Walk-in closet
  • Freestanding island

Tags

PRIVATE COVERED LANAIFREESTANDING ISLANDDESIGNER CABINETRYWALK-IN CLOSETDUAL VANITIESTILED SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Paved parking; Garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: 1; Faces northwest; Under construction
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built on foundation (details not provided)
  • Exterior features: Security/high-impact doors; Open patio and porch; Room for a pool; Patio; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Icemaker; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator (with ice maker); Pantry; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: Guest quarters (additional bedroom space); Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Dual sinks; Separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Impact glass windows; Breakfast bar; Dual sinks; Main level primary bedroom; Pantry; Shower only (separate shower); Cable TV; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom floorplan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Dryer hookup inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $288k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-260 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (13.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (23.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $219k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#750 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 942 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,191/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($284k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $288k implies a 4700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,051 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.21%
Cash-on-cash
-3.87%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$140,338
Equity at exit
$259,444
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
6.29×
Total profit
$426,346
Equity at exit
$559,501

Cash invested: $80,637 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33935

Home prices YoY
16.3%
Active inventory
942
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,191 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,510
Tax est. 1.5%
$360 /mo · $4,320/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$-260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,519
Max offer price $250,406
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,998
Closing costs
$8,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5029 S Rosebud Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1389 $1,780 $1.28 23d 1 0.34mi
801 SW Raintree Blvd Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,700 $1.32 23d 1 0.72mi
7016 Palpano Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.5 1507 $2,100 $1.39 15d 1 0.83mi
7038 Lotus Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 3.0 1680 $2,200 $1.31 15d 1 0.91mi
5029 W Hummingbird Dr Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $2,450 $2.02 3d 1 0.92mi
5012 Gunn Pl Labelle, FL 3.0 2.5 1783 $2,500 $1.40 2d 1 0.98mi
6210 Forest Ct Labelle, FL 3.0 2.5 1503 $2,200 $1.46 23d 1 1.04mi
7061 Tide Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 23d 1 1.12mi
3051 NW Beechwood Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1499 $2,200 $1.47 23d 1 1.28mi
9011 Penny Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1731 $2,400 $1.39 23d 1 1.28mi
9001 Penny Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1472 $2,300 $1.56 15d 1 1.31mi
9001 Penny Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1472 $2,300 $1.56 23d 1 1.31mi
9013 Ike Ct Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1367 $2,100 $1.54 2d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $287,990 Active
  3. 2025-08-20
    historical
  4. 2025-08-12
    listed $19,000 Active
  5. 2014-10-03
    soldstatus $6,000
  6. 2012-12-11
    soldstatus $6,000
  7. 2012-09-25
    soldstatus $6,000
  8. 2007-12-07
    soldstatus $43,000
  9. 2005-04-27
    soldstatus $28,000
  10. 2005-04-21
    soldstatus $28,000 48-char remark
    Show marketing remark (48 chars)

    Beautiful Lot close to schools. Ready to Build!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,286
− Mortgage interest
−$16,132
− Property taxes
−$4,320
− Insurance
−$1,440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,103
− Management
−$2,103
− Depreciation
−$8,378
Taxable loss
−$8,189
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,965
After-tax cash flow
$-1,151/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hendry
NCES district ID
1200780
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,043
Composite
31.16/100
National rank
#6054
State rank
#65 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port LaBelle

Score
62/100
State rank
#750
US rank
#16264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port LaBelle, FL
County
Hendry County · 23,186 people
Metro
Clewiston, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,186
Household income
$57,009
Rent vs Own
22.0% rent · 78.0% own
Severe rent burden
498.0

Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,866 people
By 2030
38,558 · -0.8%
By 2040
37,743 · -2.9%
By 2050
36,117 · -7.1%
By 2075
30,070 · -22.6%
By 2100
21,966 · -43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 39% Two or more races 21% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Hendry

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 75.20%
Current HPI
537.4928
Rent YoY
Metro
Clewiston, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+928.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $287,990 FORTMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $19,000 FORTMLS
  • 2014-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
  • 2012-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
  • 2007-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
  • 2005-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 2005-04-21 Sold (MLS) $28,000 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $379 · +19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…