109 Taft Ave · Elkland, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic investment opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom fixer-upper needs someone to use their talents and bring their visions to life! This home has lots of potential, with its hardwood floors, large yard and quiet neighborhood! Would make a great rental income opportunity! Located in the heart of Elkland, near the NY border.
Key facts
- Large yard
- Heart of elkland
- Quiet neighborhood
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,171 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Northern Tioga SD (rural): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #301 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $545 of equity ($332 loan paydown + $213 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.23%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,086
- List price
- $48,000
- Delta
- -42.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $23,389
- Equity at exit
- $15,011
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.36×
- Total profit
- $58,593
- Equity at exit
- $18,924
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16920
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $967 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $769/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $373
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $48,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $48,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $59,900 333-char remark
Show marketing remark (333 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom fixer-upper needs someone to use their talents and bring their visions to life! This home has lots of potential, with its hardwood floors, large yard and quiet neighborhood! Would make a great rental income opportunity! Located in the heart of Elkland, near the NY border.
-
2026-03-08$64,500 Active 333-char remark
Show marketing remark (333 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom fixer-upper needs someone to use their talents and bring their visions to life! This home has lots of potential, with its hardwood floors, large yard and quiet neighborhood! Would make a great rental income opportunity! Located in the heart of Elkland, near the NY border.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $769 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $769 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,605
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$769
- − Insurance
- −$906
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$928
- − Management
- −$928
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $3,987
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$957
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northern Tioga SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217730
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,816
- Composite
- 36.95/100
- National rank
- #4534
- State rank
- #301 of 539 in PA
Livability — Elkland
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1171
- US rank
- #13602
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkland, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,749
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,253 people
- By 2030
- 38,795 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 35,376 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 32,081 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 24,341 · -39.5%
- By 2100
- 17,180 · -57.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.6% · R 75.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Current HPI
- 237.1456
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $59,900 NMPA
- 2026-03-08 Listed $64,500 NMPA
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2026): $769 · -56.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…