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11937 E Cats Claw Trl 🏗️ New Construction
C+ Composite 61.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

11937 E Cats Claw Trl · Kingman, AZ 86401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Land public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1999 20 ac lot $7/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss out on the opportunity to own this amazing property located in a valley with beautiful views of the Hualapai Mountains to the west and the Aquarius Mountains to the east. Almost 20 acres of usable land. This property offers so many options. Update the current manufactured home or place a new home on this property. Property has septic, and a well.

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Septic
  • Well

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSUSABLE LANDMANUFACTURED HOMESEPTICWELL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned M-A-R (Agricultural Residential)
  • HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Annual HOA fee of $80 (about $6.67/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: No defined parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Single-story
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Private maintained road; Other roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: New construction; Wire fencing

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.6% in Kingman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in AZ, #2,014 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D+.
  • Owens School District No.6 (4373) (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #142 of 249 in AZ (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 960 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.03%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,354
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$12,833
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86401

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
960
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,613 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $468/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$7
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,097
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$7 · $84/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-04-17
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$468 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$957 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$488/yr (+$41/mo · 104.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,351
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$468
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,548
− Management
−$1,548
− HOA
−$84
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$633
After-tax cash flow
$4,252/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Owens School District No.6 (4373)
NCES district ID
0405730
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 25.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 25.00%
Median HH income
$46,415
Composite
21.72/100
National rank
#8267
State rank
#142 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Kingman

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2014

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
City population
60,489
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
30,124
Household income
$66,129
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
985.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.30%
Current HPI
251.8208
Rent YoY
▼ -0.28%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $145,000 LHAR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $468 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…