312 County Road 135 · Riceville, TN
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unlock the potential of this . 54 acre property featuring a single-wide home ready for your vision and updates. Perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize!
Key facts
- 0.54 acre lot
- Built 1999
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Water service available
- Home design: Residential property; Three or more levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 109 x 205 (irregular)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No central heating; Wall/window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 1.9% in Riceville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#217 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Mcminn County (rural): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #77 of 139 in TN (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in McMinn County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $90k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.93%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,151
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $24,868
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37303
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $997 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $229 | -5% $197 | +0% $166 | +5% $135 | +10% $104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $88 | -5% $127 | +0% $166 | +5% $206 | +10% $245 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $189 | base $166 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $119 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 217-char remark
-
2026-06-16remarks 178-char remark
-
2026-06-16$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$957
- − Management
- −$957
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $601
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminn County
- NCES district ID
- 4702820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,622
- Composite
- 22.49/100
- National rank
- #8099
- State rank
- #77 of 139 in TN
Livability — Riceville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #16490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- McMinn County · 25,688 people
- Metro
- Athens, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,688
- Household income
- $62,078
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 450.0
Population outlook (McMinn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,766 people
- By 2030
- 54,098 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 54,450 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 54,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 55,241 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 56,399 · +4.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McMinn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.5% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -64.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.2 2020: R+60.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -165.98%
- Current HPI
- 244.0901
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.72%
- Metro
- Athens, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+1398.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $89,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-11 Listed $89,900 RCAOR
- 2022-02-03 Price Changed $500 RENT.
- 2012-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,600 Public Records
- 2008-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2000-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $98 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…