1801 S Treasure Dr · North Bay Village, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
An exceptional investment opportunity, with strong development potential — ideally located just a few blocks from the 157 Ave, west of Kendall, with easy access to Coral Way.
Key facts
- $496 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association (North Bay Villas Condominium Association); Monthly HOA fee; Association amenities include elevator(s), fitness center, laundry, playground, and pool; HOA covers insurance and common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned open parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available; Electric service
- Home design: Condominium; One level; Faces west; Resale unit
- Construction: Built with CBS construction; Other roof type; 5-story building
- Exterior features: Private in-ground pool; Concrete road surface; Not waterfront; Entry at ground level
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds and storm windows; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: On-site laundry (association amenity)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (7.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#18 in FL, #426 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Treasure Island Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 399 students, 59% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 648 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,077/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 47 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 6084% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $235k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.66%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,100
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7601 E Treasure Dr #2403 | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 705 (+14%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $355 | 60 |
| 1780 79th Street Cswy Unit C110 | 0.22mi | 1/1.0 | 695 (+12%) | 14mo | $171,900 | $247 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-52,590
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -38.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-82,950
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33141
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 648
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,077 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$496
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$646
- Net cashflow
- $-116
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $46 | -5% $-35 | +0% $-116 | +5% $-197 | +10% $-279 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-359 | -5% $-238 | +0% $-116 | +5% $5 | +10% $127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2 | -0.5pp $-56 | base $-116 | +0.5pp $-177 | +1.0pp $-239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $496 · $5,952/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $235,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 88 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,918
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$6,294
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,953
- − Management
- −$2,953
- − HOA
- −$5,952
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$4,759
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,142
- After-tax cash flow
- $-251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Bay Village
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #426
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Bay Village, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,438
- Household income
- $68,738
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3521.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 27% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 62% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -472.71%
- Current HPI
- 336.7298
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-96.9% since first listed93 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed for Rent $3,800 REALLYO
- 2026-05-25 Rental Removed $3,800 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-05-25 Rental Removed $3,800 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-05-23 Listed $235,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-11 Rental Removed $3,800 REALLYO
- 2026-04-09 Listed for Rent $3,800 REALLYO
- 2026-03-26 Rental Removed $3,800 REALLYO
- 2026-03-15 Listed for Rent $3,800 REALLYO
- 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $3,800 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $2,650 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-03-03 Rental Removed $2,650 REALLYO
- 2026-03-02 Listed for Rent $2,650 REALLYO
- 2026-02-04 Rental Removed $2,650 REALLYO
- 2026-02-03 Listed for Rent $2,650 REALLYO
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $2,650 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-12-30 Rental Removed $2,650 REALLYO
- 2025-12-29 Listed for Rent $2,650 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-11-21 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-08-13 Listed $259,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-13 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-08-10 Rental Removed $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-07-11 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-07-08 Rental Removed $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-06-21 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-06-21 Rental Removed $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-06-12 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-06-12 Rental Removed $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-06-10 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-06-10 Rental Removed $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-05-17 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-05-17 Rental Removed $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-05-01 Rental Removed $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-04-09 Listed for Rent $1,750 REALLYO
- 2025-02-27 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2025-02-10 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2025-01-17 Rental Removed $2,375 MARMLS
- 2025-01-15 Rental Removed $2,375 REALLYO
- 2025-01-15 Listed for Rent $2,375 MARMLS
- 2025-01-12 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2025-01-10 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2025-01-03 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2025-01-03 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-29 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-29 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-24 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-24 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-19 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-13 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-11 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-12-03 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-29 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-29 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-26 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-26 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-21 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-21 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-17 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-17 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-13 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-13 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-11-08 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-09-28 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-09-25 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-09-25 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-09-21 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-24 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-21 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-21 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-16 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-14 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-10 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-08 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-08-02 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-07-30 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-07-25 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-07-19 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-07-17 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-04-23 Rental Removed $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-04-13 Listed for Rent $1,699 REALLYO
- 2024-04-01 Rental Removed $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-03-16 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-03-08 Rental Removed $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-03-05 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-03-05 Rental Removed $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-02-04 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-02-04 Rental Removed $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-01-17 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2024-01-17 Rental Removed $1,700 REALLYO
- 2023-12-23 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listed $155,000 MARMLS
- 2003-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $121,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…