🏗️ New Construction
Hampton Plan · New Port Richey East, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This contemporary two-story townhome enjoys a free-flowing layout among the modern kitchen, Great Room and covered patio. The top floor features the spacious owner's suite, two secondary bedrooms and a versatile loft space perfect as a home office or additional shared living area.
Key facts
- Garage
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $289,990
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
- Home design: Single-family plan (Hampton)
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,634; New construction (Plan)
- Exterior features: Located on Little Rd, New Port Richey, FL
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features: Plan: Hampton (new construction plan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-156/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (0.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $239k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in New Port Richey East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#499 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 542 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.20%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-52,354
- Equity at exit
- $41,002
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-73,568
- Equity at exit
- $23,776
Cash invested: $76,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34655
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 542
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,389 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $-13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $177 | -5% $82 | +0% $-13 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-203 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-202 | -5% $-107 | +0% $-13 | +5% $81 | +10% $176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $57 | base $-13 | +0.5pp $-84 | +1.0pp $-157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,748
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6692 Homebound Way New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $2,600 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8427 Blue Rock Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1513 | $2,250 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7542 Red Mill Cir New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1662 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7544 Red Mill Cir New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1513 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8504 Shallow Creek Ct New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1686 | $2,050 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7810 Cayuga Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $1,973 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7911 Foxwood Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $1,749 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5223 Hunters Ridge Dr New Port Richey, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1128 | $2,235 | $1.98 | 22d | 5 | 1.35mi |
| 8403 Yearling Ln New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $2,125 | $1.66 | 11d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8504 Yearling Ln New Port Richey, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $2,550 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,990 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,990 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $274,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $274,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,990 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,990 Active 27 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,125
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,294
- − Management
- −$2,294
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$4,821
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This contemporary townhome is in excellent condition with a modern design and well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates that can significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can increase the home's value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can increase the home's value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — New Port Richey East
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #9203
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 36,086
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,964
- Household income
- $85,470
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1372.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.58%
- Current HPI
- 278.3649
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.70%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…