323 Rutherford Ave · Trenton, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN BUY? Fully Renovated home for first-time homebuyers. Calculate the numbers with your lender to understand that your that your monthly rental payments maybe slightly more than a mortgage payment. 323 Rutherford has been fully Remodeled to host a Fresh and Modern Aesthetic appeal. Say goodbye to old-home headaches, you can move right in with total confidence. Situated in a central Trenton neighborhood, you are just minutes away from local transit, major highways, shopping, dining, and parks. It’s the perfect blend of neighborhood charm and easy accessibility. Properties with this level of finish at this price point don't last long in Trenton.
Key facts
- Chef's dream kitchen
- Brand new flooring
- Pristine countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is fee simple
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; No septic system
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Property in excellent condition; Estimated year built
- Construction: Advanced framing with vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above grade and below grade structures
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 15x200 (estimated); No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Basement present with dirt floor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hookup on lower floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.3% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#133 in NJ, #3,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Trenton Public School District (urban): math 2% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #471 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,512/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 2116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.50%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,324
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Wayne Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 | 1,318 (+4%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $129 | 62 |
| 50 Kelsey Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,291 (+2%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $155 | 60 |
| 27 Laurel Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,258 (-1%) | 2mo | $201,000 | $160 | 60 |
| 29 Laurel Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,258 (-1%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $143 | 59 |
| 508 Riverside Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 | 1,384 (+9%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $116 | 53 |
| 128 Exton Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,108 (-13%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $171 | 53 |
| 51 Boudinot St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,382 (+9%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $131 | 52 |
| 506 Riverside Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 | 1,402 (+11%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $114 | 50 |
| 2 Laurel Pl | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,222 (-4%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $106 | 50 |
| 135 Fountain Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,086 (-14%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $180 | 48 |
| 100 Monument Pl | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,156 (-9%) | 7mo | $209,000 | $181 | 45 |
| 28 Bryn Mawr Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 | 1,428 (+13%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $91 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-13,689
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $19,419
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08618
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,512 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$528
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 Rutherford Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 311 Spring St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 311 Calhoun St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1516 | $2,400 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 186 Passaic St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 510 W Hanover St Trenton, NJ | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 600 Artisan St Unit 126 Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,650 | $1.90 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 600 Artisan St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,650 | $1.90 | 13d | 3 | 0.37mi |
| 21 Bellevue Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 510 N Hermitage Ave Trenton, NJ | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 649 W State St Trenton, NJ | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $2,900 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 24 New Trent St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,350 | $1.76 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 130 W Ingham Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $2,000 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 20 N Overbrook Ave Unit B Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1518 | $2,300 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 134 Old Rose St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $2,300 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1100 Prospect St Unit 1 Ewing Township, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 125 Olive St Trenton, NJ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 896 | $1,392 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 34 E Hendrickson Ave Morrisville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $2,650 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 117 Park Ave Morrisville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 42 Grant St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1314 Princeton Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,400 | $2.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 130 Harper Ave Morrisville, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $3,500 | $2.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 901 Brunswick Ave #7 Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $2,800 | $2.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 92 Pennwood Dr Ewing, NJ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1702 | $3,850 | $2.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 331 Ellis Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $2,275 | $1.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 670-char remark
-
2026-06-14$249,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,675 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,937 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,263/yr (+$189/mo · 135.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$1,675
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,412
- − Management
- −$2,412
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable income
- $1,211
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$291
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trenton Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416290
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,078
- Composite
- 7.31/100
- National rank
- #9956
- State rank
- #471 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Trenton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #3533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trenton, NJ
- County
- Mercer County · 327,655 people
- City population
- 177,819
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,634
- Household income
- $50,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2116.0
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,395 people
- By 2030
- 384,640 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 391,431 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 397,845 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 417,281 · +9.4%
- By 2100
- 420,327 · +10.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+33.9) · D 65.9% · R 32.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 36.1pp · 2024: 33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+33.9 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+36.8 2008: D+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.54%
- Current HPI
- 288.6841
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $249,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2017): $1,675 · -24.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…