41 Norwood Ave · Toccoa, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready for in-town living, check out this cozy cottage in Toccoa. Enjoy the spacious, remodeled kitchen with a pantry and laundry closet adjacent to the dining room. Lovely hardwood floors and new energy-efficient windows embrace this 2-bedroom/1-bathroom home. Located on an over 1/2-acre full-corner lot, this yard is ready for a makeover. A cozy patio just off the kitchen is ready for outdoor entertaining.
Key facts
- Pantry
- Remodeled kitchen
- Full corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-184 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (19.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (33.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (33.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.4% in Toccoa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#131 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Stephens County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #74 of 174 in GA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 52 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Stephens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $165k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.78%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,426
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -36.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369 Skyline Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,071 (+7%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $205 | 52 |
| 438 US 123 | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (-10%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $222 | 45 |
| 998 Rosedale St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+8%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $196 | 44 |
| 20 Lucille Ln | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,042 (+4%) | 21mo | $165,500 | $159 | 43 |
| 158 Poplar St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,105 (+10%) | 13mo | $182,000 | $165 | 42 |
| 247 Collins Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (+7%) | 23mo | $90,000 | $84 | 39 |
| 63 Park St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (-12%) | 17mo | $135,000 | $154 | 38 |
| 232 Hilltop Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,134 (+13%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $163 | 37 |
| 143 Mitchell St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (+14%) | 22mo | $198,500 | $174 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $38,373
- Equity at exit
- $106,386
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $121,352
- Equity at exit
- $195,264
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30577
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $-184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-91 | -5% $-137 | +0% $-184 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-278 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-271 | -5% $-227 | +0% $-184 | +5% $-141 | +10% $-98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-101 | -0.5pp $-142 | base $-184 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-270 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Andrews Ct Unit 103 Toccoa, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $795 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 44 Andrews Ct Unit 103 Toccoa, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $895 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 16 Andrews Ct Unit 101 Toccoa, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $950 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 115 Forest Ave Toccoa, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 161 S Pine St Toccoa, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,195 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-02status $165,000 Pending 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical Active Under Contract 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Ready for in-town living, check out this cozy cottage in Toccoa. Enjoy the spacious, remodeled kitchen with a pantry and laundry closet adjacent to the dining room. Lovely hardwood floors and new energy-efficient windows embrace this 2-bedroom/1-bathroom home. Located on an over 1/2-acre full-corner lot, this yard is ready for a makeover. A cozy patio just off the kitchen is ready for outdoor entertaining.
-
2026-05-15historical Active Under Contract 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Ready for in-town living, check out this cozy cottage in Toccoa. Enjoy the spacious, remodeled kitchen with a pantry and laundry closet adjacent to the dining room. Lovely hardwood floors and new energy-efficient windows embrace this 2-bedroom/1-bathroom home. Located on an over 1/2-acre full-corner lot, this yard is ready for a makeover. A cozy patio just off the kitchen is ready for outdoor entertaining.
-
2026-03-23$165,000 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Ready for in-town living, check out this cozy cottage in Toccoa. Enjoy the spacious, remodeled kitchen with a pantry and laundry closet adjacent to the dining room. Lovely hardwood floors and new energy-efficient windows embrace this 2-bedroom/1-bathroom home. Located on an over 1/2-acre full-corner lot, this yard is ready for a makeover. A cozy patio just off the kitchen is ready for outdoor entertaining.
-
2026-03-21$165,000 New 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Ready for in-town living, check out this cozy cottage in Toccoa. Enjoy the spacious, remodeled kitchen with a pantry and laundry closet adjacent to the dining room. Lovely hardwood floors and new energy-efficient windows embrace this 2-bedroom/1-bathroom home. Located on an over 1/2-acre full-corner lot, this yard is ready for a makeover. A cozy patio just off the kitchen is ready for outdoor entertaining.
-
2022-10-28soldstatus $110,000 Sold
-
2022-10-28soldstatus $110,000
-
2022-10-18status Under Contract
-
2022-10-11price $119,900
-
2022-10-02price $129,900
-
2022-09-27$139,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,396 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,518 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 8.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,396
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$5,211
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $-959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stephens County
- NCES district ID
- 1304560
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,416
- Composite
- 28.42/100
- National rank
- #6759
- State rank
- #74 of 174 in GA
Livability — Toccoa
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #9152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toccoa, GA
- County
- Stephens County · 22,964 people
- City population
- 22,964
- Metro
- Toccoa, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,964
- Household income
- $53,818
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,797 people
- By 2030
- 22,785 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 20,653 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 18,745 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 14,780 · -37.9%
- By 2100
- 11,079 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephens
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.4% · R 81.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.7 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Current HPI
- 320.5275
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toccoa, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+17.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $165,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
- 2022-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $110,000 GAMLS
- 2022-10-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-10-11 Price Changed $119,900 GAMLS
- 2022-10-02 Price Changed $129,900 GAMLS
- 2022-09-27 Listed $139,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,396 · +38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…