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4052 S Harvard Ave
C- Composite 53.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

4052 S Harvard Ave · Webber, MI 49304
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1999 0.42 ac lot $111/sqft · 31% below area Est $177k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner's title policy at closing.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Full basement
  • Trail access

Tags

FULL BASEMENTDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREACOUNTY MAINTAINED ROADTRAIL ACCESSFENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Baldwin Community Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #618 of 760 in MI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.73%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$177,242
List price
$115,000
Delta
-35.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2995 W Byron St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 904 (-13%) 0mo $123,900 $137 67
4558 W Unora Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-4%) 9mo $182,000 $182 47
4558 W Unora Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-4%) 9mo $182,000 $182 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-12,240
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,352
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49304

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,890/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,023
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    status Active 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.

  17. 2026-05-12
    status Active 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.

  18. 2026-03-27
    status Pending 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.

  19. 2026-03-27
    status Pending 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.

  20. 2026-03-04
    listed $115,000 Active 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.

  21. 2026-03-04
    listed $115,000 Active 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.

  22. 2025-03-25
    historical
  23. 2025-01-03
    status Active
  24. 2025-01-02
    historical
  25. 2024-11-29
    status Active
  26. 2024-11-24
    historical
  27. 2024-11-23
    historical
  28. 2024-11-01
    status Active
  29. 2024-10-29
    historical
  30. 2024-10-09
    price $129,900
  31. 2024-10-09
    price $129,900
  32. 2024-10-09
    price $129,900
  33. 2024-09-26
    price $135,000
  34. 2024-09-26
    price $135,000
  35. 2024-09-25
    price $135,000
  36. 2024-09-10
    price $140,000
  37. 2024-09-10
    price $140,000
  38. 2024-09-09
    price $140,000
  39. 2024-08-23
    listed $150,000 Active
  40. 2024-08-23
    listed $150,000 Active
  41. 2022-08-05
    soldstatus $126,000 Sold
  42. 2022-08-05
    soldstatus $126,000 Sold
  43. 2022-08-05
    soldstatus $126,000
  44. 2022-07-09
    status Pending
  45. 2022-07-09
    status Pending
  46. 2022-06-12
    historical Contingent - Continue To Show
  47. 2022-06-11
    historical Active Contingent
  48. 2022-06-05
    listed $114,900 Active
  49. 2022-06-05
    listed $114,900 Active
  50. 2022-06-05
    listed $114,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,890 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,890 · $158/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,800
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,890
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$158
After-tax cash flow
$1,359/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwin Community Schools
NCES district ID
2603810
Math proficiency
21% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$27,638
Composite
22.56/100
National rank
#13447
State rank
#618 of 760 in MI

Livability — Webber

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,680

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,933 people
By 2030
10,503 · -3.9%
By 2040
9,470 · -13.4%
By 2050
8,526 · -22.0%
By 2075
7,160 · -34.5%
By 2100
5,634 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.2% · R 65.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-44.5pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+22.9 2012: D+5.0 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.01%
Current HPI
116.6025
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.1% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-03 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-29 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-01 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-09 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-09 Price Changed $129,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-09-26 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-26 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-09-25 Price Changed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-08-23 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-23 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-05 Sold (MLS) $126,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-08-05 Sold (MLS) $126,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-09 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-06-12 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2022-06-11 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-06-05 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-05 Listed $114,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-06-05 Listed $114,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,890 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…