4052 S Harvard Ave · Webber, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner's title policy at closing.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Full basement
- Trail access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Baldwin Community Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #618 of 760 in MI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.73%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,242
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -35.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2995 W Byron St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 904 (-13%) | 0mo | $123,900 | $137 | 67 |
| 4558 W Unora Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-4%) | 9mo | $182,000 | $182 | 47 |
| 4558 W Unora Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-4%) | 9mo | $182,000 | $182 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-12,240
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,352
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49304
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $100
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Active 946-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.
-
2026-05-12status Active 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.
-
2026-03-27status Pending 946-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.
-
2026-03-27status Pending 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.
-
2026-03-04$115,000 Active 946-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.
-
2026-03-04$115,000 Active 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Located in Baldwin, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space and potential. The home features a full basement that is mostly finished, including a dedicated laundry area, providing additional usable living space. The property sits on a county-maintained road with convenient access to M-37, making travel easy while still enjoying a peaceful setting. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to trail access just down 32nd Street and being within a quarter mile of hundreds of acres of Federal Land for recreation. The large, fenced yard offers plenty of room for gatherings, pets, or outdoor projects. While the home is in fair condition and could benefit from updates and improvements, it offers solid potential as a year-round residence, up-north getaway, or investment property. Please note this property is being sold AS-IS, and the Seller will not pay the owner’s title policy at closing.
-
2025-03-25historical
-
2025-01-03status Active
-
2025-01-02historical
-
2024-11-29status Active
-
2024-11-24historical
-
2024-11-23historical
-
2024-11-01status Active
-
2024-10-29historical
-
2024-10-09price $129,900
-
2024-10-09price $129,900
-
2024-10-09price $129,900
-
2024-09-26price $135,000
-
2024-09-26price $135,000
-
2024-09-25price $135,000
-
2024-09-10price $140,000
-
2024-09-10price $140,000
-
2024-09-09price $140,000
-
2024-08-23$150,000 Active
-
2024-08-23$150,000 Active
-
2022-08-05soldstatus $126,000 Sold
-
2022-08-05soldstatus $126,000 Sold
-
2022-08-05soldstatus $126,000
-
2022-07-09status Pending
-
2022-07-09status Pending
-
2022-06-12historical Contingent - Continue To Show
-
2022-06-11historical Active Contingent
-
2022-06-05$114,900 Active
-
2022-06-05$114,900 Active
-
2022-06-05$114,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,890 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,890 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,890
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$660
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$158
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2603810
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,638
- Composite
- 22.56/100
- National rank
- #13447
- State rank
- #618 of 760 in MI
Livability — Webber
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,680
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,933 people
- By 2030
- 10,503 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 9,470 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 8,526 · -22.0%
- By 2075
- 7,160 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 5,634 · -48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.2% · R 65.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.5pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+22.9 2012: D+5.0 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.01%
- Current HPI
- 116.6025
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+0.1% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-04 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-04 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-01-03 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-01-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-29 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-01 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $129,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-25 Price Changed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-09 Price Changed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-08-23 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-08-23 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-05 Sold (MLS) $126,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-08-05 Sold (MLS) $126,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-07-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-07-09 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-06-12 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2022-06-11 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-06-05 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-05 Listed $114,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-06-05 Listed $114,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,890 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…