302 Main St · Bison, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Cozy pellet stove
- Rustic living room
- Bonus family room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: No foundation details provided
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 75 x 160
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-857/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (7.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#107 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Bison School District 52-1 (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #106 of 148 in SD (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bison Elementary - 02 (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #144 of 253 statewide, top 63%, 67 students, 28% FRL); Bison Jr. High - 04 (math 10% / reading 50%, 24 students, 12% FRL); Bison High School - 01 (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #69 of 151 statewide, top 65%, 43 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Perkins County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.75%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,399
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 1st Ave W | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,824 (-1%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $93 | 78 |
| 507 W 1st Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,878 (+2%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $64 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $11,512
- Equity at exit
- $73,299
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $53,789
- Equity at exit
- $108,972
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57620
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,465/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $-71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $28 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-71 | +5% $-121 | +10% $-170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-184 | -5% $-128 | +0% $-71 | +5% $-15 | +10% $41 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $17 | -0.5pp $-27 | base $-71 | +0.5pp $-117 | +1.0pp $-163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $174,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $174,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01$174,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,465 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,465 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,465
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$3,882
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$932
- After-tax cash flow
- $75/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bison School District 52-1
- NCES district ID
- 4607050
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,832
- Composite
- 38.77/100
- National rank
- #8370
- State rank
- #106 of 148 in SD
Livability — Bison
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #11155
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bison, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 590
Population outlook (Perkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,128 people
- By 2030
- 3,207 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 3,391 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 3,602 · +15.2%
- By 2075
- 4,340 · +38.7%
- By 2100
- 4,754 · +52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 25% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Perkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.3% · R 84.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -70.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.0 2020: R+69.6 2016: R+71.3 2012: R+55.7 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.45%
- Current HPI
- 140.6658
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $174,900 Badlands BOR MLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,465 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…