10 Lamp St · Conway, NH 03818

$150,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market

Built 2017 Fair condition Est $105k · 43% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.3/30.0
• DSCR +8.9/10.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming North Conway Country Retreat with Sunroom, Workshop & amp; Mountain Lifestyle Nestled in a peaceful country setting just minutes from the heart of North Conway, this inviting home offers the perfect balance of cozy living and outdoor adventure. With 768 square feet of efficient living space plus a bright 10x20 sunroom, you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll enjoy extra room to relax, entertain, or unwind while taking in the surrounding natural beauty. Inside, the home is warm and welcoming with multiple heating options designed for New England living. A classic wood stove creates the perfect cozy atmosphere, complemented by two propane Rinnai heaters, a modern AC/heat mi

Key facts

• Wood shed
• Classic wood stove
• Sunroom

Tags

• SUNROOM
• WORKSHOP
• WOOD SHED
• QUIET COUNTRY SETTING
• MULTIPLE HEATING OPTIONS
• CLASSIC WOOD STOVE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Built in 2017
• Construction: Living area approximately 768
• Exterior features: Located in the Conway subdivision

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.0% in Conway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#33 in NH, #4,690 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
• Conway School District (rural): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #73 of 98 in NH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 357 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.38%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.01%
• DSCR: 1.49
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $105,216
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
28 Mellen Cir	0.24mi	2/1.0	795 (+4%)	7mo	$72,000	$91	77
288 Lamplighter Dr	0.44mi	2/1.5	784 (+2%)	2mo	$103,950	$133	72
83 Lamplighter Dr	0.13mi	2/1.0	840 (+9%)	16mo	$115,000	$137	65
73 Lamplighter's Dr	0.08mi	2/2.0	880 (+15%)	24mo	$192,700	$219	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.01×
• Total profit: $266
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.76×
• Total profit: $31,948
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Hampshire: 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 03818

• Home prices YoY: -8.6%
• Active inventory: 39
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,800 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$378
• Net cashflow: $385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
19 Saco St #91 Center Conway, NH	2.0	1.0	1015	$1,800	$1.77	44d	1	1.19mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
15. 2026-05-12
    listed $150,000 Active 1413-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,600
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,250
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,728
• − Management: −$1,728
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable income: $2,378
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$571
• After-tax cash flow: $4,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, including siding, paint, and flooring. Immediate updates to the exterior and interior will significantly improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

• Major exterior siding — Severe weathering and peeling
• Major interior walls — Significant peeling paint
• Major flooring — Worn carpet
• Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible photos

Value-add opportunities

• Resale repair and paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value
• Rental replace carpet — Improves living space and tenant satisfaction

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
exterior siding · Severe weathering and peeling	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior walls · Significant peeling paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn carpet	Major	$15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No visible photos	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items		$60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale repair and paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
• Rental replace carpet — Improves living space and tenant satisfaction ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Conway School District
• NCES district ID: 3302490
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $49,590
• Composite: 31.9/100
• National rank: #5859
• State rank: #73 of 98 in NH

Livability — Conway

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #33
• US rank: #4690

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Conway, NH
• Population (ZIP): 3,930

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 45,072 people
• By 2030: 43,158 · -4.2%
• By 2040: 38,044 · -15.6%
• By 2050: 33,087 · -26.6%
• By 2075: 25,661 · -43.1%
• By 2100: 18,684 · -58.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 8% Iranian 7% Slovak 7%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.8% · R 50.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -1.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.7 2020: D+1.5 2016: R+5.7 2012: R+0.8 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -37.29%
• Current HPI: 396.4228
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 FSBO.com