26471 Three Bridges Rd · Federalsburg, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * Back Active at no fault of the seller * * Opportunity awaits at 26471 Three Bridges Rd in Federalsburg, MD! This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for your finishing touch. Inside, the property has been taken down to the framing and subflooring, giving you a true blank canvas to bring your vision to life—whether you’re an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to customize every detail. Set on nearly a half-acre lot surrounded by trees, the home offers privacy and a peaceful wooded setting while still being just a short drive to town conveniences. With the major groundwork already started, this property presents the perfect chance to create a modern retreat or a profitable investment in a serene location. Bring your creativity and tools—this is a project with endless potential! Property being sold AS-IS WHERE IS
Key facts
- Half-acre lot
- 0.43 acre lot
- Built 1962
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.8% in Federalsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#266 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: housing C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Caroline County Public Schools (rural): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #17 of 24 in MD (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 59 units permitted in Caroline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caroline County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $120k implies a 380% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.91%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,724
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -31.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $9,249
- Equity at exit
- $22,085
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $43,272
- Equity at exit
- $17,722
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21632
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,402 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $469/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $389
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $457 | -5% $423 | +0% $389 | +5% $355 | +10% $321 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $279 | -5% $334 | +0% $389 | +5% $445 | +10% $500 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $420 | base $389 | +0.5pp $358 | +1.0pp $327 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 250 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-03-26status Active 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
* * Back Active at no fault of the seller * * Opportunity awaits at 26471 Three Bridges Rd in Federalsburg, MD! This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for your finishing touch. Inside, the property has been taken down to the framing and subflooring, giving you a true blank canvas to bring your vision to life—whether you’re an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to customize every detail. Set on nearly a half-acre lot surrounded by trees, the home offers privacy and a peaceful wooded setting while still being just a short drive to town conveniences. With the major groundwork already started, this property presents the perfect chance to create a modern retreat or a profitable investment in a serene location. Bring your creativity and tools—this is a project with endless potential! Property being sold AS-IS WHERE IS
-
2026-03-11status Pending 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
* * Back Active at no fault of the seller * * Opportunity awaits at 26471 Three Bridges Rd in Federalsburg, MD! This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for your finishing touch. Inside, the property has been taken down to the framing and subflooring, giving you a true blank canvas to bring your vision to life—whether you’re an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to customize every detail. Set on nearly a half-acre lot surrounded by trees, the home offers privacy and a peaceful wooded setting while still being just a short drive to town conveniences. With the major groundwork already started, this property presents the perfect chance to create a modern retreat or a profitable investment in a serene location. Bring your creativity and tools—this is a project with endless potential! Property being sold AS-IS WHERE IS
-
2026-03-11historical Active Under Contract 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
* * Back Active at no fault of the seller * * Opportunity awaits at 26471 Three Bridges Rd in Federalsburg, MD! This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for your finishing touch. Inside, the property has been taken down to the framing and subflooring, giving you a true blank canvas to bring your vision to life—whether you’re an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to customize every detail. Set on nearly a half-acre lot surrounded by trees, the home offers privacy and a peaceful wooded setting while still being just a short drive to town conveniences. With the major groundwork already started, this property presents the perfect chance to create a modern retreat or a profitable investment in a serene location. Bring your creativity and tools—this is a project with endless potential! Property being sold AS-IS WHERE IS
-
2026-02-15price $120,000 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
* * Back Active at no fault of the seller * * Opportunity awaits at 26471 Three Bridges Rd in Federalsburg, MD! This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for your finishing touch. Inside, the property has been taken down to the framing and subflooring, giving you a true blank canvas to bring your vision to life—whether you’re an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to customize every detail. Set on nearly a half-acre lot surrounded by trees, the home offers privacy and a peaceful wooded setting while still being just a short drive to town conveniences. With the major groundwork already started, this property presents the perfect chance to create a modern retreat or a profitable investment in a serene location. Bring your creativity and tools—this is a project with endless potential! Property being sold AS-IS WHERE IS
-
2026-01-04price $140,000 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
* * Back Active at no fault of the seller * * Opportunity awaits at 26471 Three Bridges Rd in Federalsburg, MD! This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for your finishing touch. Inside, the property has been taken down to the framing and subflooring, giving you a true blank canvas to bring your vision to life—whether you’re an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to customize every detail. Set on nearly a half-acre lot surrounded by trees, the home offers privacy and a peaceful wooded setting while still being just a short drive to town conveniences. With the major groundwork already started, this property presents the perfect chance to create a modern retreat or a profitable investment in a serene location. Bring your creativity and tools—this is a project with endless potential! Property being sold AS-IS WHERE IS
-
2025-09-24$150,000 Active 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
* * Back Active at no fault of the seller * * Opportunity awaits at 26471 Three Bridges Rd in Federalsburg, MD! This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for your finishing touch. Inside, the property has been taken down to the framing and subflooring, giving you a true blank canvas to bring your vision to life—whether you’re an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to customize every detail. Set on nearly a half-acre lot surrounded by trees, the home offers privacy and a peaceful wooded setting while still being just a short drive to town conveniences. With the major groundwork already started, this property presents the perfect chance to create a modern retreat or a profitable investment in a serene location. Bring your creativity and tools—this is a project with endless potential! Property being sold AS-IS WHERE IS
-
2024-07-18soldstatus $25,000 Closed 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
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2024-06-21status Pending 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
-
2024-06-17status Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
-
2024-06-13status Pending 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
-
2024-06-13historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
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2024-05-31price $24,999 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
-
2024-03-04$30,000 Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
-
2024-02-26historical $30,000 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Welcome to this investor’s special in Federalsburg, Maryland! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood on almost a half acre lot. Conveniently located near schools and just a short drive into town this property is a must-see. Don't miss out on the opportunity, schedule a viewing today. Contact us for more information.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $469 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $889 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$419/yr (+$35/mo · 89.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$469
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,346
- − Management
- −$1,346
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,853
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$685
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caroline County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400180
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,076
- Composite
- 19.16/100
- National rank
- #8823
- State rank
- #17 of 24 in MD
Livability — Federalsburg
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #13461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,227
Population outlook (Caroline County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,205 people
- By 2030
- 30,204 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 27,866 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 25,342 · -18.8%
- By 2075
- 20,554 · -34.1%
- By 2100
- 17,415 · -44.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 25% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caroline
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.0) · D 29.9% · R 67.9% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.0pp · 2024: -38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.0 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.22%
- Current HPI
- 301.4384
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-11 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-15 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-04 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-07-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-06-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-06-17 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-06-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-06-13 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-31 Price Changed $24,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-03-04 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-26 Coming Soon $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $469 · -19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…