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800 Rayonier Ave
B- Composite 69.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

800 Rayonier Ave · Hoquiam, WA 98550
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1930 1.00 ac lot $123/sqft · 15% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer HOUSE on approx. 1 Acre with Hoquiam River VIEWS! Looking for a home with some land at a good deal near the Hoquiam River? Located on a dead-end street, this home sits just off of Broadway Ave on Rayonier Ave, but not too far from the city. This has an unbelievable approx. 43,000+ sq. ft. of land! And it borders the Rayonier Forest Land. Featuring 2 BD, 1 BA and 896 sq. ft. with an unfinished 782 sq. ft. Basement. Fixer-upper ~ it needs your touch. Buyer to verify all information. Sold "AS IS" and cash only.

Key facts

  • Approx 1 acre
  • Hoquiam river views
  • Dead-end street

Tags

HOQUIAM RIVER VIEWSAPPROX 1 ACRERAYONIER FOREST LANDDEAD-END STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property condition listed as fixer; Lot size approximately 1.0021 acres (dimensions provided); Living area and building totals reported (see listing for details)
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Hoquiam); Sewer connected (City of Hoquiam); Power provided by GH PUD; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story with basement; Main-level entry; North-facing
  • Construction: Built 1930 (effective year); Composition roof; Construction: metal/vinyl and wood; Foundation: poured concrete and slab (see remarks)
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl and wood exterior; Wood products; Partial slope topography; Dead-end street; Paved access; Brush and wooded vegetation; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating space
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub and shower (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No cooling system listed
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.7% in Hoquiam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#171 in WA, #4,268 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools D-.
  • Hoquiam School District (town): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #250 of 291 in WA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.94%
Cash-on-cash
23.73%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$241,772
List price
$110,000
Delta
-54.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
417 Monroe St 0.49mi 2/1.0 843 (-6%) 2mo $130,000 $154 65
704 Lincoln St 0.47mi 2/1.0 832 (-7%) 2mo $180,000 $216 65
1404 C St 0.66mi 2/1.0 930 (+4%) 19mo $160,000 $172 47
814 Karr Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 944 (+5%) 18mo $225,000 $238 44
823 Monroe St 0.40mi 2/1.5 1,024 (+14%) 20mo $201,000 $196 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$20,942
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$68,089
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98550

Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,634 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $712/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$609

Break-even live

Break-even rent $863
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $671 -5% $640 +0% $609 +5% $578 +10% $547
Rent -10% $480 -5% $544 +0% $609 +5% $674 +10% $738
Rate -1.0pp $664 -0.5pp $637 base $609 +0.5pp $581 +1.0pp $552

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2515 Sumner Ave Unit 2 Hoquiam, WA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 45d 1 0.91mi
335 Endresen Rd Hoquiam, WA 3.0 1.0 914 $2,300 $2.52 45d 1 0.98mi
2435 Bay Ave Hoquiam, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,399 $1.55 45d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-02
    listed $110,000 Active
  3. 2014-02-14
    soldstatus $38,000 Sold
  4. 2014-02-14
    soldstatus $38,000
  5. 2014-01-30
    status Pending
  6. 2014-01-02
    price $39,900
  7. 2013-10-24
    price $43,900
  8. 2013-09-06
    price $44,777
  9. 2013-07-19
    listed $49,000 Active
  10. 2012-06-04
    soldstatus $46,475
  11. 2001-04-25
    soldstatus $35,000
  12. 2001-04-25
    soldstatus $23,623
  13. 2001-04-25
    soldstatus $35,000
  14. 2000-05-05
    listed $37,000
  15. 1999-10-14
    soldstatus $27,345

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$712 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$366/yr (+$31/mo · 51.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,611
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$712
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,569
− Management
−$1,569
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$5,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,404
After-tax cash flow
$5,905/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoquiam School District
NCES district ID
5303660
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,039
Composite
32.31/100
National rank
#10914
State rank
#250 of 291 in WA

Livability — Hoquiam

Score
75/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4268

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hoquiam, WA
County
Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
City population
12,316
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
Population (ZIP)
12,316
Household income
$55,040
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
438.0

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,443 people
By 2030
63,255 · -4.8%
By 2040
56,466 · -15.0%
By 2050
50,516 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,296 · -40.9%
By 2100
31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.94%
Current HPI
249.3102
Rent YoY
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+309.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $112,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2014-02-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-30 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-02 Price Changed $39,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-24 Price Changed $43,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-09-06 Price Changed $44,777 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-07-19 Listed $49,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $46,475 Public Records
  • 2001-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $23,623 Public Records
  • 2001-04-25 Sold (MLS) $35,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-05-05 Listed $37,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $27,345 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $712 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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