800 Rayonier Ave · Hoquiam, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 77°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer HOUSE on approx. 1 Acre with Hoquiam River VIEWS! Looking for a home with some land at a good deal near the Hoquiam River? Located on a dead-end street, this home sits just off of Broadway Ave on Rayonier Ave, but not too far from the city. This has an unbelievable approx. 43,000+ sq. ft. of land! And it borders the Rayonier Forest Land. Featuring 2 BD, 1 BA and 896 sq. ft. with an unfinished 782 sq. ft. Basement. Fixer-upper ~ it needs your touch. Buyer to verify all information. Sold "AS IS" and cash only.
Key facts
- Approx 1 acre
- Hoquiam river views
- Dead-end street
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition listed as fixer; Lot size approximately 1.0021 acres (dimensions provided); Living area and building totals reported (see listing for details)
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Hoquiam); Sewer connected (City of Hoquiam); Power provided by GH PUD; Electric water heater
- Home design: Single-family house; One story with basement; Main-level entry; North-facing
- Construction: Built 1930 (effective year); Composition roof; Construction: metal/vinyl and wood; Foundation: poured concrete and slab (see remarks)
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl and wood exterior; Wood products; Partial slope topography; Dead-end street; Paved access; Brush and wooded vegetation; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating space
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub and shower (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No cooling system listed
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Main-level utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.7% in Hoquiam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#171 in WA, #4,268 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools D-.
- Hoquiam School District (town): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #250 of 291 in WA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.73%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $241,772
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -54.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 Monroe St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 843 (-6%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $154 | 65 |
| 704 Lincoln St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-7%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $216 | 65 |
| 1404 C St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (+4%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 814 Karr Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (+5%) | 18mo | $225,000 | $238 | 44 |
| 823 Monroe St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 1,024 (+14%) | 20mo | $201,000 | $196 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $20,942
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $68,089
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98550
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,634 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $712/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $609
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $671 | -5% $640 | +0% $609 | +5% $578 | +10% $547 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $480 | -5% $544 | +0% $609 | +5% $674 | +10% $738 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $664 | -0.5pp $637 | base $609 | +0.5pp $581 | +1.0pp $552 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2515 Sumner Ave Unit 2 Hoquiam, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 335 Endresen Rd Hoquiam, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $2,300 | $2.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2435 Bay Ave Hoquiam, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,399 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-05-02$110,000 Active
-
2014-02-14soldstatus $38,000 Sold
-
2014-02-14soldstatus $38,000
-
2014-01-30status Pending
-
2014-01-02price $39,900
-
2013-10-24price $43,900
-
2013-09-06price $44,777
-
2013-07-19$49,000 Active
-
2012-06-04soldstatus $46,475
-
2001-04-25soldstatus $35,000
-
2001-04-25soldstatus $23,623
-
2001-04-25soldstatus $35,000
-
2000-05-05$37,000
-
1999-10-14soldstatus $27,345
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $712 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$366/yr (+$31/mo · 51.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$712
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,569
- − Management
- −$1,569
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $5,850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,404
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,905/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hoquiam School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303660
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,039
- Composite
- 32.31/100
- National rank
- #10914
- State rank
- #250 of 291 in WA
Livability — Hoquiam
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4268
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hoquiam, WA
- County
- Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
- City population
- 12,316
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,316
- Household income
- $55,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 438.0
Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,443 people
- By 2030
- 63,255 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 56,466 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 50,516 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,296 · -40.9%
- By 2100
- 31,142 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.94%
- Current HPI
- 249.3102
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+309.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $112,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Listed $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-30 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-02 Price Changed $39,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-24 Price Changed $43,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-06 Price Changed $44,777 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-19 Listed $49,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $46,475 Public Records
- 2001-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $23,623 Public Records
- 2001-04-25 Sold (MLS) $35,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-05-05 Listed $37,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $27,345 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2026): $712 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…