4800 SE Federal Hwy #145 · Stuart, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this inviting 2 bedroom, 2 bath home in the highly sought after Natalie Estates community of Stuart. This residence offers a bright, open layout with comfortable living spaces and thoughtful updates throughout, making it perfect for seasonal or year round living. Kitchen has ample cabinetry and great natural light. Both bedrooms are generously sized, offering privacy and convenience, while the primary suite includes its own en suite bath. The enclosed Florida room provides valuable extra space, ideal for morning coffee, hobbies, or simply enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Additional features include covered parking, extra storage, reverse osmosis and has been treated for termites with a transferrable warranty for yearly maintenance. This home is truly move in ready. Natalie Estates is a friendly, well kept community offering a clubhouse, pool, and social activities. Its prime location places you minutes from shopping, dining, medical facilities, downtown Stuart, and the beautiful beaches of Hutchinson Island. With quick access to US 1, everything you need is right at your fingertips.
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Ample cabinetry
- Extra storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.2% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pinewood Elementary School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,587 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 726 students, 64% FRL); Dr. David L. Anderson Middle School (math 51% / reading 46%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,035 students, 63% FRL); Martin County High School (math 45% / reading 54%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 2,273 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 731 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.10%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,109
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -17.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4300 SE Saint Lucie Blvd #210 | 1.24mi | 2/1.0 | 862 (-0%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $138 | 53 |
| 4300 SE Saint Lucie Blvd #87 | 1.24mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (+6%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $137 | 52 |
| 4300 SE Saint Lucie Blvd #188 | 1.24mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (+6%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $132 | 49 |
| 3194 SE Jefferson St | 1.40mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (-4%) | 5mo | $443,000 | $531 | 47 |
| 5638 SE Pine Ave | 0.90mi | 2/2.0 | 932 (+8%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $247 | 46 |
| 2399 SE Madison St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+22%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $294 | 45 |
| 2314 SE Washington St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+14%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $273 | 44 |
| 3581 SE Cobia Way | 0.88mi | 2/2.0 | 944 (+9%) | 3mo | $178,000 | $189 | 43 |
| 4300 SE Saint Lucie Blvd #75 | 1.24mi | 2/2.0 | 944 (+9%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $164 | 42 |
| 3156 SE Mimosa St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 935 (+8%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $316 | 41 |
| 3550 SE Cobia Way #3550 | 0.92mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 944 (+9%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $228 | 40 |
| 3143 SE Banyan St | 0.91mi | 2/2.0 | 1,070 (+24%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $322 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $19,176
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $67,097
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34997
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 731
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,120 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $964/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$220
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $639
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $713 | -5% $676 | +0% $639 | +5% $603 | +10% $566 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $472 | -5% $556 | +0% $639 | +5% $723 | +10% $807 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $705 | -0.5pp $672 | base $639 | +0.5pp $606 | +1.0pp $572 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4585 SE Federal Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $2,242 | $2.21 | 15d | 27 | 0.26mi |
| 5601 SE Laguna Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 63d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4284 SE Cove Lake Cir Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,815 | $2.52 | 72d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4284 SE Cove Lake Cir Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,765 | $2.45 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3018 SE Iris St Unit 2 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $2,100 | $3.62 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3250 SE Commerce Ave Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 746 | $2,112 | $2.83 | 15d | 35 | 1.39mi |
| 2855 SE Garden St Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 598 | $1,820 | $3.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4404 SE Mulford Ln Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 72d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail $220/mo · $2,640/yr condo
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $129,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $129,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $129,900 Active 139 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $129,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $129,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $129,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $129,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $129,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $129,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $129,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $129,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $129,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $129,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $129,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $129,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $129,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $129,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $129,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $129,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $129,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $129,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $129,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $129,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $129,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $129,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $129,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $129,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $129,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $129,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $129,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $129,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $129,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $129,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $129,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $129,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $964 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$114/yr (+$10/mo · 11.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$964
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,036
- − Management
- −$2,036
- − HOA
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $6,065
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,456
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in Natalie Estates is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a bright, open layout and is perfect for seasonal or year-round living.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and adds to overall property value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Stuart
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Martin County · 172,383 people
- City population
- 65,812
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,075
- Household income
- $78,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.78%
- Current HPI
- 336.7717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $135,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $964 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…