CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3087 Kelly Ct
D- Composite 39.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

3087 Kelly Ct · Aurora, IL 60504
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,251 sqft · Townhouse public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1991 Est $286k · at est. $23/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Aurora IL. Home to Illinois' oldest farmers market and so much more! Live peacefully in a Modern Townhome, that has everything you need, and lives much more like a detached home. This home has been very well cared for. From the second you enter the generously sized foyer to the great room! This space shows a vast bright living room, & open concept dining room space, finished with a contemporary chandelier, built-in buffet table, and wood laminate flooring. Buffet table is moveable and can be moved and used as a kitchen island. The walls and trims have been painted and are complimented with gray, cream and white, tones, and new baseboards; leading you to your clean light gra

Key facts

  • Bright living room
  • Great room
  • $23 HOA

Tags

GENEROUSLY SIZED FOYERGREAT ROOMBRIGHT LIVING ROOMOPEN CONCEPT DINING ROOMBUILT-IN BUFFET TABLEWOOD LAMINATE FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Includes a garage
  • Home design: Condo; Two-story building; Two units in building

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-791/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (3.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (14.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Aurora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Indian Prairie CUSD 204 (urban): math 47% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #52 of 620 in IL (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Peter M Gombert Elementary Sch (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 403 students, 0% FRL); Still Middle School (math 37% / reading 40%, grade F, #154 of 665 statewide, top 24%, 642 students, 0% FRL); Waubonsie Valley High School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #44 of 693 statewide, top 7%, 2,766 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,378 units permitted in DuPage County in 2024 (594 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $257,007 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$286,479
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2843 Dorothy Dr 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,251 (0%) 3mo $325,000 $260 87
2970 Dorothy Dr 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,270 (+2%) 8mo $298,000 $235 85
2992 Dorothy Dr 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,251 (0%) 14mo $270,000 $216 83
2870 Dorothy Dr 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,235 (-1%) 7mo $270,000 $219 80
2922 Dorothy Dr 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,251 (0%) 16mo $285,000 $228 78
1154 Brunswick Ln 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,297 (+4%) 1mo $322,500 $249 64
1140 Brunswick Ln 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,194 (-5%) 2mo $210,020 $176 63
1200 Andover Cir 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,159 (-7%) 7mo $265,000 $229 56
1114 Brunswick Ln 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,194 (-5%) 7mo $300,000 $251 55
1165 S Brockton Ct 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,194 (-5%) 19mo $264,900 $222 50
3180 Cambria Ct #3180 0.29mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,405 (+12%) 15mo $277,000 $197 48
1202 Andover Cir 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,194 (-5%) 22mo $285,000 $239 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-47,723
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-25,269
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60504

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,570 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$23
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,653
Max offer price $290,467
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $38 +0% $-66 +5% $-170 +10% $-273
Rent -10% $-269 -5% $-167 +0% $-66 +5% $36 +10% $137
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $10 base $-66 +0.5pp $-144 +1.0pp $-223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3162 Cambria Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1620 $2,500 $1.54 45d 1 0.26mi
1860 Middlebury Dr Unit 1860 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1471 $2,450 $1.67 21d 1 0.30mi
3153 Teal Bay Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,400 $1.50 9d 1 0.34mi
3192 Teal Bay Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,500 $1.56 45d 1 0.34mi
1914 Spinnaker Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $3,000 $2.12 45d 1 0.34mi
1632 Normantown Rd Naperville, IL 2.0 1.5 1052 $2,150 $2.04 3d 1 0.35mi
1420 Andover Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1300 $2,200 $1.69 4d 1 0.41mi
1516 Normantown Rd Unit 1516 Naperville, IL 2.0 1.5 1052 $2,100 $2.00 26d 1 0.41mi
1210 Andover Cir Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1194 $2,100 $1.76 9d 1 0.59mi
1464 Farrington Ln Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 1836 $3,300 $1.80 0d 1 0.62mi
1419 Farrington Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1476 $2,959 $2.00 4d 1 0.62mi
1227 Andover Cir Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1194 $2,300 $1.93 45d 1 0.63mi
1111 Brunswick Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1159 $2,200 $1.90 14d 1 0.67mi
1111 Brunswick Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 2.0 1159 $2,200 $1.90 8d 1 0.67mi
1045 Camden Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1620 $2,836 $1.75 13d 1 0.83mi
2598 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,395 $1.62 22d 1 0.87mi
1009 Pheasant Run Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 2.0 1034 $2,050 $1.98 45d 1 0.88mi
2516 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1482 $2,300 $1.55 19d 1 0.90mi
2575 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 0.91mi
826 Terrace Lake Dr Aurora, IL 2.0 1.5 1090 $2,132 $1.96 0d 9 0.93mi
2270 Georgetown Cir Unit 2270 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1533 $2,800 $1.83 45d 1 0.94mi
4475 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1555 $3,100 $1.99 0d 1 0.99mi
2460 Georgetown Cir Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1532 $2,400 $1.57 3d 1 1.03mi
4462 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1783 $3,400 $1.91 45d 1 1.03mi
2531 Congress Ave #2531 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1532 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 1.03mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1588 $2,795 $1.76 45d 1 1.03mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,850 $1.78 3d 1 1.03mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1588 $2,795 $1.76 13d 1 1.03mi
2550 Providence Ave Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,300 $1.48 45d 1 1.04mi
4444 Monroe Ct Unit 4444 Naperville, IL 3.0 2.5 1783 $3,300 $1.85 3d 1 1.04mi
4444 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 3.0 2.5 1783 $3,300 $1.85 0d 1 1.04mi
2226 Daybreak Dr #2226 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1627 $2,500 $1.54 45d 1 1.06mi
2909 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 3.0 2.5 1783 $3,095 $1.74 20d 1 1.09mi
2205 Daybreak Dr #2205 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 7d 1 1.10mi
2923 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,550 $1.65 23d 1 1.11mi
2933 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1783 $3,000 $1.68 12d 1 1.12mi
2995 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1793 $3,000 $1.67 13d 1 1.19mi
2420 Harbor Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.0 1705 $3,150 $1.85 26d 1 1.21mi
710 S Eola Rd Aurora, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1105 $2,448 $2.22 0d 32 1.23mi
3302 Acorn Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 1.0 1018 $1,900 $1.87 26d 1 1.27mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$23 · $276/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on marketlisting id $300,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 695-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    remarks 691-char remark
  6. 2026-06-16
    listed $300,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,841
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,500
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,467
− Management
−$2,467
− HOA
−$276
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$5,902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,416
After-tax cash flow
$626/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian Prairie CUSD 204
NCES district ID
1741690
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$100,618
Composite
45.14/100
National rank
#2680
State rank
#52 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#4272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, IL
County
DuPage County · 904,569 people
City population
186,692
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
39,358
Household income
$98,008
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1270.0

Population outlook (DuPage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
960,187 people
By 2030
965,850 · +0.6%
By 2040
965,812 · +0.6%
By 2050
954,890 · -0.6%
By 2075
910,185 · -5.2%
By 2100
816,255 · -15.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 23% Asian 20% Two or more races 15% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 5%

Political lean MEDSL · DuPage

2024 margin
D (+13.3) · D 55.9% · R 42.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: 10.8pp · 2024: 13.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.3 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.46%
Current HPI
228.255
Rent YoY
▲ 4.91%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…