1104 Lewis Cir · Rockingham, NC 28379

$160,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,840 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 26 Days on market

Built 1992 0.38 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Income producing Duplex with one unit currently occupied. This property includes 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, appliances, and recent updates. Located on a cul-de-sac within walking distance to town amenities.

Key facts

• Recent updates
• Cul-de-sac
• 0.38 acre lot

Tags

• INCOME PRODUCING DUPLEX
• RECENT UPDATES
• CUL-DE-SAC

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Zoning: R7
• Financial info: Each unit currently rents for approximately $750 (multiple identical 2-bedroom units)

Exterior

• Parking: Concrete parking
• Home design: Duplex residential income property; One-level / single-story
• Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Slab foundation; Built with common residential materials
• Exterior features: Front porch; Shingle roof; No fencing

Interior

• Bedrooms: Multiple 2-bedroom units (unfurnished)
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: No basement; Has a view

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $521/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
• Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 6.0% in Rockingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#403 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Richmond County Schools (town): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #139 of 178 in NC (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Rockingham Middle (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #343 of 475 statewide, top 73%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Richmond Senior High (math 58% / reading 38%, grade D, #329 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,286 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Richmond County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $157,600 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.62% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.93%
• DSCR: 2.24
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 22.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.90×
• Total profit: $40,456
• Equity at exit: $23,857

10-year hold

• IRR: 30.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.69×
• Total profit: $120,653
• Equity at exit: $13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28379

• Home prices YoY: -32.4%
• Active inventory: 155
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,599 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$105 /mo · $1,259/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$546
• Net cashflow: $1,043

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,279

Max offer price $160,000

Occupancy floor 55%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	2	$2,600
Total (2 units)			$2,599

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,000
• Closing costs: $4,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
4. 2026-06-05
   days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $160,000 Active 17 DOM
9. 2026-05-30
   days on market $160,000 Active 16 DOM
10. 2026-05-22
    status Active
11. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
12. 2026-05-12
    listed $160,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,259 · $105/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,312 · $109/mo
• Expected delta: +$53/yr (+$4/mo · 4.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,188
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,962
• − Property taxes: −$1,259
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,495
• − Management: −$2,495
• − Depreciation: −$4,655
• Taxable income: $10,522
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,525
• After-tax cash flow: $9,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richmond County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3703870
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $32,224
• Composite: 26.97/100
• National rank: #7076
• State rank: #139 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rockingham

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #403
• US rank: #15356

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rockingham, NC
• City population: 24,068
• Population (ZIP): 24,068

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 42,892 people
• By 2030: 41,257 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 37,629 · -12.3%
• By 2050: 33,655 · -21.5%
• By 2075: 23,992 · -44.1%
• By 2100: 14,782 · -65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.9) · D 39.2% · R 60.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.4pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -20.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.9 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+10.1 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -97.10%
• Current HPI: 203.0628
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-22 Relisted — Hive MLS
• 2026-05-20 Pending — Hive MLS
• 2026-05-12 Listed $160,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,259 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.