51 Newport St · Newport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity to own an up and down duplex. With a little love and care this home has the potential to be a great rental/investment property. Don't Miss out on adding this to your portfolio. 2 Bedroom 1 bath upstairs, 3 bedroom 1 bath downstairs.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Listed 23 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 100; Residential zoning
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Baseboard heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Has basement with dirt floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#609 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Greater Nanticoke Area SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #479 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.21%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,640
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Orchard St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,743 (-4%) | 11mo | $172,500 | $99 | 77 |
| 8 Chestnut St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,806 (-0%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $22 | 73 |
| 24 Rock St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-12%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $40 | 52 |
| 146 Railroad St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,037 (+13%) | 11mo | $166,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 160 Main St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-14%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $80 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $54,431
- Equity at exit
- $59,624
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.01×
- Total profit
- $138,772
- Equity at exit
- $105,941
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18617
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,467 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $444
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 W Main St Glen Lyon, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 34 Arch St Glen Lyon, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,250 | $0.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 34 Arch St Unit 1 Glen Lyon, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,250 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-24price $99,000
-
2026-04-08$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,857
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $4,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$962
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greater Nanticoke Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216290
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,990
- Composite
- 20.1/100
- National rank
- #8647
- State rank
- #479 of 539 in PA
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #609
- US rank
- #5859
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glen Lyon, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,616
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 45% Scotch-Irish 6% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.58%
- Current HPI
- 278.0674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-20.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $99,000 LCAR
- 2026-04-08 Listed $124,900 LCAR
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,857 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…