721 Chestnut Ln · Brownsburg, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FORGET BUILDING! UNBEATABLE VALUE AWAITS YOU IN THIS CHARMING ALMOST NEW 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME CONVENIENTLY LOCATED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF BROWNSBURG. THE OPEN FLOOR PLAN ALLOWS YOU TO HELP THE CHILDREN WITH THEIR HOMEWOR K WHILE PREPARING YOUR MEALS. YOU ARE SURE TO ENJOY THE PRIVACY OF THE SPLIT BEDROOMS. WALK-IN CLOSETS, REAR PATIO & PROFESSIONAL LANDSCAPING COMBINE TO MAKE THE FINISHING TOUCHES ON THIS HOME. CALL TODAY!
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Split floor plan
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is subject to mandatory fee ownership interest
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $220
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; North-facing
- Construction: Vinyl with brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet and bedroom split floor plan
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic access; Cathedral ceilings; Painted woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (11.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Brownsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#61 in IN, #4,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Brownsburg Community School Corporation (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #2 of 301 in IN (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $245k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.86%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,849
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736 Hawthorne Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-5%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $156 | 83 |
| 733 Chestnut Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (-7%) | 7mo | $270,000 | $215 | 81 |
| 635 Muirfield Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+3%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $191 | 77 |
| 6795 Crown Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (+5%) | 7mo | $322,000 | $227 | 72 |
| 709 Kingston Cir | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (-8%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $218 | 72 |
| 659 Muirfield Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-12%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $188 | 65 |
| 141 Brooks Bnd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (+1%) | 2mo | $274,000 | $201 | 63 |
| 1568 Winding Creek Trl | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+4%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $193 | 62 |
| 631 Muirfield Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-12%) | 9mo | $206,000 | $172 | 60 |
| 8480 E County Road 700 N | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 6mo | $193,500 | $147 | 56 |
| 1268 Summer Ridge Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,483 (+10%) | 7mo | $295,000 | $199 | 56 |
| 7395 N State Road 267 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-9%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $215 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-43,073
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-20,053
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46112
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,021 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$355 /mo · $4,264/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$18
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $-163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1083 Pine Ridge Way Brownsburg, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $1,955 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1573 Winding Creek Trl Brownsburg, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1836 | $2,211 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 711 Green Ridge Pkwy Brownsburg, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,529 | $1.78 | 1d | 3 | 0.66mi |
| 640 N Grant St Brownsburg, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,550 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7774 Bedford Ct Brownsburg, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,865 | $1.74 | 1d | 4 | 0.74mi |
| 457 Sable Chase Brownsburg, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,185 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5793 N Green St Brownsburg, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,678 | $2.01 | 4d | 7 | 1.13mi |
| 7249 Arbuckle Cmns Brownsburg, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1548 | $2,545 | $1.64 | 1d | 17 | 1.15mi |
| 102 Murphy Ln Brownsburg, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,775 | $1.42 | 7d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6480 E County Road 700 N Brownsburg, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,650 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $18 · $216/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 277-char remark
-
2026-06-17$245,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,264 · $355/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,264 · $355/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,257
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$4,264
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,941
- − Management
- −$1,941
- − HOA
- −$216
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$6,180
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,483
- After-tax cash flow
- $-476/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsburg Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1801020
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,304
- Composite
- 63.45/100
- National rank
- #616
- State rank
- #2 of 301 in IN
Livability — Brownsburg
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #4105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsburg, IN
- County
- Hendricks County · 143,373 people
- City population
- 44,220
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,220
- Household income
- $112,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 614.0
Population outlook (Hendricks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,418 people
- By 2030
- 201,494 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 228,487 · +21.9%
- By 2050
- 253,068 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 308,920 · +64.8%
- By 2100
- 336,510 · +79.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 10% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendricks
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.5) · D 38.4% · R 59.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -21.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.5 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.99%
- Current HPI
- 217.3787
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.31%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+129.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $245,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-09-29 Sold (MLS) $105,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-07-26 Listed $106,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,264 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…