CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
524 Martin Luther King Dr
B Composite 70.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

524 Martin Luther King Dr · Waycross, GA 31501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1965 10,018 sqft lot $59/sqft · 22% below area Est $90k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special in the heart of Waycross! This rehab opportunity is full of potential and located in a prime location convenient to shopping, dining, schools, and downtown amenities. Whether you're looking to renovate and resell, add to your rental portfolio, or create your own vision, this property offers endless possibilities. With solid potential and a desirable location, this is a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a project. Property is being sold as-is. Don't miss your chance to bring this property back to life!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1965
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available on property
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House structure; Built in 1965
  • Construction: Brick and stone construction; Tin roof; 1192 square feet above grade
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Fixer condition; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry described as 'Other'

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($875 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.1% in Waycross — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#519 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ware County (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #95 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wacona Elementary School (math 29% / reading 33%, grade F, #617 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 937 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 64% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Ware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ware County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.08%
Cash-on-cash
13.53%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,029
List price
$70,000
Delta
-22.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
511 Riverside Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,338 (+12%) 5mo $62,000 $46 66
1261 Grove Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,350 (+13%) 2mo $142,500 $106 60
205 Butler St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,287 (+8%) 11mo $115,000 $89 59
613 Beville St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,174 (-2%) 15mo $195,000 $166 59
1217 Parkway Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,110 (-7%) 22mo $68,000 $61 57
15 Robert St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+1%) 13mo $155,000 $129 54
1251 Grove Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,334 (+12%) 16mo $50,000 $37 48
507 Beville St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,075 (-10%) 7mo $75,000 $70 44
1110 Jordan St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,222 (+2%) 22mo $18,000 $15 44
1212 Martin Luther King Dr 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,360 (+14%) 5mo $22,500 $17 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$2,736
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$20,526
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31501

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$875 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $888/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $261 -5% $241 +0% $221 +5% $201 +10% $181
Rent -10% $152 -5% $186 +0% $221 +5% $256 +10% $290
Rate -1.0pp $256 -0.5pp $239 base $221 +0.5pp $203 +1.0pp $184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
801 Naomi St Waycross, GA 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1109 $875 $0.79 44d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $70,000 New 543-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$888 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$888 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,500
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$888
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$840
− Management
−$840
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$1,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$390
After-tax cash flow
$2,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ware County
NCES district ID
1305430
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$35,231
Composite
25.6/100
National rank
#7415
State rank
#95 of 174 in GA

Livability — Waycross

Score
55/100
State rank
#519
US rank
#23458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waycross, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,034

Population outlook (Ware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,313 people
By 2030
32,071 · -3.7%
By 2040
29,587 · -11.2%
By 2050
27,197 · -18.4%
By 2075
22,323 · -33.0%
By 2100
18,197 · -45.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 45% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ware

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.3% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.90%
Current HPI
243.5058
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $70,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $888 · +12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…