748 Holub Rd · Inez, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2017 Solitaire Mobile Home | Wind Zone 2 & acirc; & euro; & cent; Single-wide 16 & acirc; & euro; & trade; x 74 & acirc; & euro; & trade; & acirc; & euro; & cent; 1,184 square feet & acirc; & euro; & cent; 3 bedrooms & acirc; & euro; & cent; 2 bathrooms & acirc; & euro; & cent; Hardie Siding & acirc; & euro; & cent; Sheet Rock walls and ceilings & acirc; & euro; & cent; All appliances included & acirc; & euro; & cent; Metal Skirting & acirc; & euro; & cent; Porches included HOME ONLY & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; buyer must move the home off
Key facts
- Sheet rock walls
- Hardie siding
- Metal skirting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#262 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Industrial ISD (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #61 of 826 in TX (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Victoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Victoria County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 115.36%
- DSCR
- 6.13
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $100,923
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.72×
- Total profit
- $231,448
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77968
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,735 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $512/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $1,750
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
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2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-10remarks 555-char remark
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2026-06-10$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,190 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$678/yr (+$56/mo · 132.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$512
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,625
- − Management
- −$2,625
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $21,195
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,087
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Industrial ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824150
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,995
- Composite
- 51.69/100
- National rank
- #1693
- State rank
- #61 of 826 in TX
Livability — Inez
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #6180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Inez, TX
- City population
- 3,022
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,022
Population outlook (Victoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,119 people
- By 2030
- 113,161 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 127,402 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 141,953 · +33.8%
- By 2075
- 179,410 · +69.1%
- By 2100
- 200,127 · +88.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Victoria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.6) · D 28.4% · R 71.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.6 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.66%
- Current HPI
- 144.3982
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $512 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…