317 S Paseo Quinta Unit C · Green Valley, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
317 S Paseo Quinta Unit C · Green Valley, AZ 85614
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 588 sqft · Condo
· 202 Days on market
Built 1964
$165/sqft
· 29% below area
Est $137k · 29% under
$410/mo HOA · 30% of rent
↓ 15% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immactulate well kept 1 bedroom Villa . Full size kitchen appliances including dishwasher. Updated kitchen by previous owner. Beautiful Saltillo tile recently cleaned.and restored by a professional (saltillo thruout Villa). Fully furnished including patio furniture and portable BBO.
Key facts
- Saltillo tile floors
- Community pools
- $410 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $97k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-216/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (2.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Green Valley — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#165 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Continental Elementary District (4416) (rural): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #72 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Continental Elementary School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #418 of 1,109 statewide, top 38%, 639 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 733 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 103d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$85,360
(12.0% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.79%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,804
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- -29.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 S Paseo Quinta Unit B | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $187 | 97 |
| 135 S Paseo Quinta Unit B | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $89,500 | $152 | 91 |
| 381 S Paseo Madera Unit C | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $170 | 90 |
| 364 S Paseo Lobo Unit C | 0.19mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 2mo | $102,000 | $173 | 90 |
| 522 S Paseo Madera Unit C | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 0mo | $59,000 | $100 | 88 |
| 479 S Paseo Madera Unit C | 0.24mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $93,500 | $159 | 88 |
| 346 S Paseo Aguila Unit B | 0.32mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $145 | 84 |
| 424 S Paseo Aguila Unit C | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $213 | 83 |
| 176 S Paseo Pena Unit D | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 0mo | $149,900 | $215 | 63 |
| 233 S Paseo Tierra Unit D | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 118 S Paseo Quinta Unit A | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 1mo | $114,250 | $164 | 60 |
| 337 S Paseo Lobo Unit D | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $154 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-12,982
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
10-year hold
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $3,948
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 10 under contract
- Median asking
- $142,000 ($204/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 129 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85614
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 733
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$410
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$1,368
Max offer price
$94,398
Occupancy floor
96%
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $49 | -5% $16 | +0% $-18 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-124 | -5% $-71 | +0% $-18 | +5% $35 | +10% $88 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $31 | -0.5pp $7 | base $-18 | +0.5pp $-43 | +1.0pp $-69 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232 S Paseo Pena Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,000 | $1.70 | 103d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 276 S Paseo Sarta Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $2,000 | $2.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 276 S Paseo Sarta Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $2,000 | $2.87 | 31d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 329 S Paseo Pena Apt A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,150 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 322 S La Canada Dr Unit D Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,200 | $1.72 | 127d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 386 S La Canada Dr Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,150 | $1.92 | 55d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 430 S Paseo Pena Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,025 | $1.47 | 155d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 408 S La Canada Dr Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 132 S Paseo Sarta Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 103d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 132 S Paseo Sarta Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 133 S Paseo Pena Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,050 | $1.79 | 120d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 174 S Paseo Tierra Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,100 | $1.87 | 103d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 424 Paseo Madera Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 321 S Paseo Madera Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,350 | $1.94 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 248 S Paseo Lobo Unit D Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,150 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 478 Paseo Madera Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,250 | $2.13 | 164d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 466 S Paseo Madera Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 133d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 466 Paseo Madera Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 158d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 303 S Paseo Lobo Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,000 | $1.44 | 164d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 302 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,200 | $1.72 | 9d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 262 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,200 | $2.04 | 143d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 262 S Paseo Cerro Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,200 | $2.04 | 164d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 469 S Paseo Lobo Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,200 | $2.04 | 10d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 478 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,000 | $1.70 | 108d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 321 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 596 | $1,000 | $1.68 | 49d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 321 S Paseo Cerro Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 596 | $1,000 | $1.68 | 55d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 90 W Camino Manzana Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 164d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 480 S Paseo Aguila Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $925 | $1.57 | 122d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 480 S Paseo Aguila Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $950 | $1.62 | 122d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 121 W Calle del Ano Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $925 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1022 S Calle de la Temporada Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $1,100 | $1.99 | 10d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Association: Villas WestHOA fee $410 monthlyHOA transfer fee $155HOA covers heating/air conditioning, common area maintenance, exterior maintenance of unit, roof repair/replacement, street maintenance, and waterCommunity pool and spa/hot tubCommunity laundryParkShuffleboardPaved streets and sidewalks
Exterior
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Water from a water companySewer connected
- Home design
- CondominiumOne storyFaces west
- Construction
- Masonry stucco constructionBuilt-up roof
- Exterior features
- PatioStucco finish fencingPaved roadEast/West exposure
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeMicrowave
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Exhaust fanPlantation shutters
HOA detail $410/mo · $4,920/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $97,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $97,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $97,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $97,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $97,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $97,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $97,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $97,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-10-30pricedays on market $97,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $112,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $112,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $112,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $112,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $112,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $112,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $112,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $112,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $112,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $112,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $112,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $112,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $112,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $112,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $112,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $112,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $112,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $112,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $112,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $112,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $112,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $112,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $112,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $112,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $112,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $112,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $112,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $112,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $112,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $112,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $112,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $112,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $112,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $112,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $112,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $112,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $112,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $112,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $112,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $112,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $112,000 Active 151 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$1,455
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − HOA
- −$4,920
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable loss
- −$1,560
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$374
- After-tax cash flow
- $159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
75/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $2,940–$8,820 screening
This 1-bedroom villa in Green Valley is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It offers a low-maintenance living space and is move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear and tear visible.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Slight wear and tear visible.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Replace outdated kitchen cabinets and appliances — Modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers. ↑
- Resale Update bathroom fixtures and possibly add a showerhead or faucet — Updating the bathroom will enhance the home's appeal. ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint will improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Clean Saltillo tile floors — Clean Saltillo tile floors will make the home more attractive and easier to maintain. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping will increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Continental Elementary School
F
AZ #418/1,109
Nat'l #20,973/41,679
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Continental Elementary District (4416)
- NCES district ID
- 0402250
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,475
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5565
- State rank
- #72 of 249 in AZ
C
Composite livability gradescore 61/100
Livability — Green Valley
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #18276
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A+
Crime B-
Employment C
Housing A+
Health & safety F
User ratings D-
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Green Valley, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,066,056 people
- City population
- 25,381
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,381
- Household income
- $64,879
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 29% of renters
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.05%
- Current HPI
- 250.5933
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.60%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-15.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $117,000 MLSSAZ
- 2024-04-11 Pending — MLSSAZ
- 2024-04-09 Sold (MLS) $130,000 MLSSAZ
- 2024-03-22 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2024-02-28 Listed $138,000 MLSSAZ
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…