79 Kohlman St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$96,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 79 Kohlman Street! This colonial home is move in ready with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths. The home has a 1st floor bedroom and 1/2 bath, formal dining room and family room. Some of the recent updates include New Carpeting (2026), Freshly Painted interior (2026), Vinyl Replacement Windows, Foam Insulation. New C of O on the home and is a great investment or owner-occupied opportunity! This move-in ready home will not last long! No Delays!
Key facts
- 1st floor bedroom
- Formal dining room
- Foam insulation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
- Recommended offer: $95k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,423/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $667 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.41%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,820
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 Kohlman St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 940 (0%) | 0mo | $96,500 | $103 | 96 |
| 50 Townsend St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 960 (+2%) | 10mo | $117,000 | $122 | 66 |
| 245 Weaver St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 962 (+2%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $130 | 61 |
| 75 Mead St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 988 (+5%) | 8mo | $67,500 | $68 | 57 |
| 201 Clifford Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 954 (+2%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $58 | 56 |
| 27 Radio St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 901 (-4%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $44 | 55 |
| 92 Ave C | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 954 (+2%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $63 | 54 |
| 128 Townsend St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 991 (+5%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 26 Ludwig Park | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (+11%) | 10mo | $40,000 | $38 | 53 |
| 101 Rauber St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+9%) | 2mo | $144,000 | $140 | 47 |
| 280 Saint Casimir St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-11%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $196 | 37 |
| 9 Quamina Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+15%) | 11mo | $107,000 | $99 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $25,439
- Equity at exit
- $14,388
- IRR
- 32.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.68×
- Total profit
- $99,532
- Equity at exit
- $8,344
Cash invested: $27,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14621
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$506
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $610/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,125
- Closing costs
- $2,895
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 493 Hollenbeck St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 144 Avenue C Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 613 | $1,050 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11 Maria St Unit 1 DN Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 76 Avenue A Unit Up Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,700 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14-42 Seneca Manor Dr Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,120 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 89 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,775 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 84 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 25 Trust St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1003 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 45 Clay Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 56 Brambury Dr Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,425 | $1.98 | 10d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 254 Lexington Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11 Renwood St Unit Dn Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,095 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1750 Hudson Ave Irondequoit, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 654 | $1,900 | $2.90 | 2d | 4 | 1.31mi |
| 265 Driving Park Ave Unit 31 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,250 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 52 Lorimer St Unit 03 UP Rear Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 116 Ridgeway Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,650 | $1.60 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| — Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1097 Dewey Ave Unit B Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 86 Parkway Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $1,600 | $2.66 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-20status Pending
-
2026-03-04$96,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $610 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$510/yr (+$43/mo · 83.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,406
- − Property taxes
- −$610
- − Insurance
- −$482
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$2,807
- Taxable income
- $5,040
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,210
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,117/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,381
- Household income
- $35,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2756.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.66%
- Current HPI
- 254.1805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.88%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $96,500 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $610 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…