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109 Flatrock Ln
B- Composite 68.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

109 Flatrock Ln · Crooked Creek, GA 31024
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 2007 0.79 ac lot Est $292k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to sell! This charming cottage-style home offers cozy living spaces with classic architectural details. The inviting layout creates a warm atmosphere perfect for comfortable everyday living. The heart of this home features a well-appointed kitchen with custom wood cabinetry that provides both functionality and timeless appeal. The thoughtfully crafted storage solutions create an inviting space for daily meal preparation and entertaining. Venture outside to discover the covered front porch, perfect for enjoying morning coffee or evening relaxation while taking in the surrounding views. This charming outdoor space extends your living area and provides a comfortable spot to unwind throughout the seasons. One of the most appealing aspects of this property is its proximity to Lake Sinclair access. The nearby lake offers endless opportunities for recreation, whether you enjoy fishing, boating, or simply spending time by the water. This convenient location allows you to embrace the peaceful lakeside lifestyle while maintaining easy access to all the comforts of home. Schedule your private showing today and discover the charm and comfort this delightful cottage has to offer for your family's next chapter. For more information, please use HUDHomeStore.com and search for case number 106-504027. This home is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Lake sinclair access
  • 0.79 acre lot

Tags

LAKE SINCLAIR ACCESSCOVERED FRONT PORCHCUSTOM WOOD CABINETRYOCONEE NATIONAL FOREST

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, USDA Loan, and VA Loan
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 220 volt electric; Cable, phone, and electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family manufactured home; One story; Resale property; Manufactured house structure
  • Construction: Built in 2007; Wood siding construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Private lot; Has a view; Double pane windows

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Double vanity; Breakfast area
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in hall with laundry closet; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 1.6% in Crooked Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 39/100 on livability (#613 in GA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Putnam County (rural): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #86 of 174 in GA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Putnam County Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #229 of 470 statewide, top 49%, 681 students, 81% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 522 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $134k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,051 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.68%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,600
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Flatrock Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-7%) 24mo $270,000 $225 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$4,986
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$50,295
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31024

Active inventory
522
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,235 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,549/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$562

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,524
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    statusdays on market $189,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Price Change 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Price Change 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    pricestatus $189,900 Price Change 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $200,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $200,000 New 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 New 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 New 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 New 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $200,000 New 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 New 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 New 3 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 New 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    remarks 699-char remark
  17. 2026-05-31
    listed $200,000 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,549 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,747 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$198/yr (+$17/mo · 12.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,825
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$1,549
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,146
− Management
−$2,146
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$3,873
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$930
After-tax cash flow
$5,814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam County
NCES district ID
1304260
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,038
Composite
26.9/100
National rank
#7088
State rank
#86 of 174 in GA

Livability — Crooked Creek

Score
39/100
State rank
#613
US rank
#27435

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Putnam County · 21,601 people
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
21,601
Household income
$65,971
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
696.0

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,747 people
By 2030
20,163 · -2.8%
By 2040
18,680 · -10.0%
By 2050
17,117 · -17.5%
By 2075
13,269 · -36.0%
By 2100
9,234 · -55.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.7% · R 71.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.9pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+35.8 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.84%
Current HPI
269.8265
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+534.9% since first listed
39 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $200,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $133,857 Public Records
  • 2026-05-13 Sold (MLS) $133,857 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $175,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-16 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $215,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $205,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-06-02 Listed $215,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-04-12 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-01-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $215,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $215,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $215,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-09-30 Listed $239,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Pending FMLS
  • 2023-09-19 Contingent FMLS
  • 2023-09-09 Pending FMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Contingent FMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) $205,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) $205,000 FMLS
  • 2023-08-15 Pending FMLS
  • 2023-08-10 Contingent FMLS
  • 2023-08-10 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-05-19 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2023-05-19 Relisted FMLS
  • 2023-05-17 Contingent FMLS
  • 2023-05-16 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-04-22 Price Changed $205,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-04-22 Price Changed $205,000 FMLS
  • 2023-02-15 Listed $225,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-02-15 Listed $225,000 FMLS
  • 2017-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
  • 2007-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,549 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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