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15633 Fl-121 5-Plex
B Composite 70.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$390,000

15633 Fl-121 · Raiford, FL 32083
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 700 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 408 Days on market
Built 1980 1.42 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

Key facts

  • Stable rental income
  • 1.42 acre lot
  • Built 1980

Tags

5 UNIT-MOBILE HOME PROPERTYSTABLE RENTAL INCOMELOCATED IN RAIFORD FLNEW SEPTIC DRAINFIELD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5 × 2-bed/1.4-bath units multifamily listed at $390k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $246/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $390k).
  • Recommended offer: $343k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#860 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Union (town): math 62% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #17 of 73 in FL (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Union County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 408 days — a 12% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $343,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 408 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.08%
Cash-on-cash
13.53%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$125,322
Equity at exit
$175,361
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
4.08×
Total profit
$336,211
Equity at exit
$270,252

Cash invested: $109,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32083

Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
34.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,682 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,045
Tax from tax record
$260 /mo · $3,120/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$983
Net cashflow
$1,231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,124
Max offer price $390,000
Occupancy floor 69%

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $4,682

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,500
Closing costs
$11,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $390,000 Active 408 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $390,000 Active 407 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $390,000 Active 406 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $390,000 Active 405 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $390,000 Active 404 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $390,000 Active 402 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 369-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $390,000 Active 401 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $390,000 Active 398 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $390,000 Active 397 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $390,000 Active 396 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $390,000 Active 393 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $390,000 Active 392 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $390,000 Active 391 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $390,000 Active 390 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $390,000 Active 389 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $390,000 Active 388 DOM
  18. 2026-03-09
    price $390,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  19. 2026-01-12
    price $425,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  20. 2025-11-07
    status Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  21. 2025-11-05
    price $450,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  22. 2025-11-05
    historical 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  23. 2025-09-08
    price $455,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  24. 2025-09-08
    price $450,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  25. 2025-05-05
    listed $475,000 Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.

  26. 2025-04-04
    historical 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity! This property includes five fully rented dwellings situated in the sought-after Union County, ideally positioned between Jacksonville and Gainesville. These units provide a reliable source of rental income, making it a perfect addition to your investment portfolio. This property requires a cash-only purchase, with no financing or mortgage options available.

  27. 2024-10-04
    listed $425,000 Active 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity! This property includes five fully rented dwellings situated in the sought-after Union County, ideally positioned between Jacksonville and Gainesville. These units provide a reliable source of rental income, making it a perfect addition to your investment portfolio. This property requires a cash-only purchase, with no financing or mortgage options available.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,120 · $260/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,237 · $270/mo
Expected delta
+$117/yr (+$10/mo · 3.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$56,184
− Mortgage interest
−$21,846
− Property taxes
−$3,120
− Insurance
−$1,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,495
− Management
−$4,495
− Depreciation
−$11,345
Taxable income
$8,933
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,144
After-tax cash flow
$12,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union
NCES district ID
1201890
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,908
Composite
48.59/100
National rank
#2111
State rank
#17 of 73 in FL

Livability — Raiford

Score
57/100
State rank
#860
US rank
#22145

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,627

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,613 people
By 2030
14,322 · -2.0%
By 2040
13,780 · -5.7%
By 2050
13,325 · -8.8%
By 2075
11,965 · -18.1%
By 2100
9,102 · -37.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.6% · R 83.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.4pp toward R · 2008: -49.9pp · 2024: -68.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.3 2020: R+65.3 2016: R+62.4 2012: R+49.0 2008: R+49.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $390,000 realMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $425,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Relisted realMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $450,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $455,000 realMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $450,000 realMLS
  • 2025-05-05 Listed $475,000 realMLS
  • 2025-04-04 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2024-10-04 Listed $425,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,120 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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