5-Plex
15633 Fl-121 · Raiford, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$390,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
Key facts
- Stable rental income
- 1.42 acre lot
- Built 1980
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5 × 2-bed/1.4-bath units multifamily listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $246/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $390k).
- Recommended offer: $343k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#860 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Union (town): math 62% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #17 of 73 in FL (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Union County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 408 days — a 12% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 408 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.53%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $125,322
- Equity at exit
- $175,361
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $336,211
- Equity at exit
- $270,252
Cash invested: $109,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32083
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 34.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,682 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$260 /mo · $3,120/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$983
- Net cashflow
- $1,231
Break-even live
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5× units | 2 | 1.4 | $4,680 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.4 | $936 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.4 | $936 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.4 | $936 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.4 | $936 |
| #5 | 2 | 1.4 | $936 |
| Total (5 units) | $4,682 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,500
- Closing costs
- $11,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-19days on market $390,000 Active 408 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $390,000 Active 407 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $390,000 Active 406 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $390,000 Active 405 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $390,000 Active 404 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $390,000 Active 402 DOM
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2026-06-12remarks 369-char remark
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2026-06-12days on market $390,000 Active 401 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $390,000 Active 398 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $390,000 Active 397 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $390,000 Active 396 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $390,000 Active 393 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $390,000 Active 392 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $390,000 Active 391 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $390,000 Active 390 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $390,000 Active 389 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $390,000 Active 388 DOM
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2026-03-09price $390,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2026-01-12price $425,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2025-11-07status Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2025-11-05price $450,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2025-11-05historical 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2025-09-08price $455,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2025-09-08price $450,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2025-05-05$475,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Profitable 5 unit-Mobile home property for sale. Incredible opportunity for investors seeking passive income. Stable rental income of $4650 per month. Perfectly located in Raiford FL, a charming rural community while located conveniently close to nearby cities of Gainesville & Jacksonville. Turn-key opportunity. Call for more inforrmation.
-
2025-04-04historical 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity! This property includes five fully rented dwellings situated in the sought-after Union County, ideally positioned between Jacksonville and Gainesville. These units provide a reliable source of rental income, making it a perfect addition to your investment portfolio. This property requires a cash-only purchase, with no financing or mortgage options available.
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2024-10-04$425,000 Active 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity! This property includes five fully rented dwellings situated in the sought-after Union County, ideally positioned between Jacksonville and Gainesville. These units provide a reliable source of rental income, making it a perfect addition to your investment portfolio. This property requires a cash-only purchase, with no financing or mortgage options available.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,120 · $260/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,237 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- +$117/yr (+$10/mo · 3.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,846
- − Property taxes
- −$3,120
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,495
- − Management
- −$4,495
- − Depreciation
- −$11,345
- Taxable income
- $8,933
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,144
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,629/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union
- NCES district ID
- 1201890
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,908
- Composite
- 48.59/100
- National rank
- #2111
- State rank
- #17 of 73 in FL
Livability — Raiford
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #860
- US rank
- #22145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,627
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,613 people
- By 2030
- 14,322 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 13,780 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 13,325 · -8.8%
- By 2075
- 11,965 · -18.1%
- By 2100
- 9,102 · -37.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.6% · R 83.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.4pp toward R · 2008: -49.9pp · 2024: -68.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.3 2020: R+65.3 2016: R+62.4 2012: R+49.0 2008: R+49.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-8.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $390,000 realMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $425,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-07 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $450,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-05 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $455,000 realMLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $450,000 realMLS
- 2025-05-05 Listed $475,000 realMLS
- 2025-04-04 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2024-10-04 Listed $425,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,120 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…