12099 Highland Ave · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$96,790
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTORS!!!! 2 bed, 1 bath home located in Gulfport offering 1,012 square feet of potential. This property needs significant repairs but presents an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a home to their vision. With endless possibilities, this home is truly a blank canvas ready for transformation. Conveniently located just minutes from I-10, shopping, dining, and other local amenities. Great investment opportunity to add to your portfolio.
Key facts
- Blank canvas
- Conveniently located
- 0.56 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (paved)
- Utilities: Sewer: see remarks; Water: see remarks; Utilities: see remarks
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One level
- Construction: Siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built date: public records
- Exterior features: Porch; Other exterior features
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating: see remarks; Cooling: see remarks
- Interior features: Porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $670 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.24%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $151,988
- List price
- $96,790
- Delta
- -36.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13517 Artes St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-1%) | 0mo | $139,900 | $140 | 92 |
| 12104 Three Rivers Rd | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+5%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $37 | 86 |
| 12011 Three Rivers Rd | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-5%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $130 | 80 |
| 12011 Three Rivers Rd Unit A | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-5%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $125 | 76 |
| 12095 Highland Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-10%) | 4mo | $79,850 | $88 | 73 |
| 305 Lavelle Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+4%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 801 Shirley Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 986 (-3%) | 5mo | $80,750 | $82 | 61 |
| 710 Beverly Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+0%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $138 | 60 |
| 201 Tandy Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,026 (+1%) | 9mo | $89,900 | $88 | 60 |
| 12297 Windward Dr | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,096 (+8%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $146 | 58 |
| 201 Mary Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,053 (+4%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $161 | 54 |
| 2309 Cottonwood Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,128 (+12%) | 8mo | $167,900 | $149 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $8,515
- Equity at exit
- $14,432
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $54,917
- Equity at exit
- $8,369
Cash invested: $27,101 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$508
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,507/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,198
- Closing costs
- $2,904
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12040 Highland Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $950 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 12147 Prudie Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 12450 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 125 Clarence Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 14180 Oneal Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 13070 Tracewood Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11200 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,147 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11200 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,445 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 13242 Warren Dr Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 10669 E Bay Tree Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,425 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13181 Warren Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,375 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 101 Fore St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 10596 E Bay Tree Dr Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11310 Fairfield Ln Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $1,625 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $96,790 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $96,790 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $96,790 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $96,790 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $96,790 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $96,790 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $96,790 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $96,790 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $96,790 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $96,790 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $96,790 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $96,790 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,790 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $96,790 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-13$96,790 Active 484-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,507 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,507 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,771
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,422
- − Property taxes
- −$1,507
- − Insurance
- −$484
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$2,816
- Taxable income
- $2,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$523
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $96,790 MLSU
Property tax history
+47.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,507 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…