5918 Purdy Ln · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.54%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
Key facts
- Built 2005
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 2.8% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 999 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $90k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.97%
- DSCR
- 3.45
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $52,198
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.53×
- Total profit
- $114,083
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33950
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 999
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,326 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,082/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $1,154
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9489 Turtle Grass Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,500 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 26162 Stillwater Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 15 N Cardinal Unit B15 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9984 Spring Gulch Ln Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $1,849 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 26120 Jones Loop Rd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1105 | $2,275 | $2.06 | 13d | 27 | 0.90mi |
| 3845 Albacete Cir #50 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7361 S Plum Tree Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3800 Tripoli Blvd #35 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $4,200 | $2.89 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 449 Royal Poinciana #221 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,750 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3701 Albacete Cir #98 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $3,250 | $2.24 | 20d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 27851 Roanoke Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-26$90,000 Active
-
2017-01-25soldstatus $57,000
-
2017-01-24soldstatus $57,000 Sold 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2017-01-09status Pending 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2017-01-05price $70,000 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2016-12-28status Active 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2016-12-21historical 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2016-12-08status Active 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2016-11-26status Pending 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2016-08-18$75,000 Active 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Definitely worth a look! Make it your own or Great investment property or second home. New AC, water heater, roof in great condition. Large manufactured home on a quiet street. NO HOA fees! This would be an awesome rental as well! Excellent value in Punta Gorda!
-
2013-12-27soldstatus $45,000
-
2013-12-26soldstatus $45,000 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
SUPER Nice, clean, furnished mobile in great community (no HOA) with park and canoe / kayak launch on Alligator Creek. This 3 bed, 2 bath features a large easy to use kitchen, great master bath with duel sinks, garden tub & shower. Home features split floor plan, indoor laundry room and plenty of closet space.
-
2013-08-26$49,900 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
SUPER Nice, clean, furnished mobile in great community (no HOA) with park and canoe / kayak launch on Alligator Creek. This 3 bed, 2 bath features a large easy to use kitchen, great master bath with duel sinks, garden tub & shower. Home features split floor plan, indoor laundry room and plenty of closet space.
-
2010-01-26$54,900
-
2005-06-14historical
-
2005-05-16$18,000
-
2002-07-22soldstatus $42,000
-
1999-05-18soldstatus $39,500
-
1996-02-28soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,082 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,082 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$2,082
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,233
- − Management
- −$2,233
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $13,253
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,181
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,955
- Household income
- $76,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 608.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.73%
- Current HPI
- 261.6573
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.06%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+157.1% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $90,000 FSBO.com
- 2017-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2017-01-24 Sold (MLS) $57,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-05 Price Changed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-28 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-21 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-08 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-26 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-18 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2013-12-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-26 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-26 Listed $54,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-16 Listed $18,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
- 1996-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,082 · -14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…