347 Foster St · Burlington, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GOOD RENTAL OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. SOLD AS IS. NO SELLER PROPERTY DISCLOSURE OR SURVEY. MOTIVATED SELLER. SELLER WILL CONSIDER ALL REASONABLE CASH OFFERS PRESENTED. PLEASE VERIFY SCHOOL ASSIGNMENTS.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water heater: Unknown
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1940; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: City lot; Lot is approximately 0.239 acres with dimensions 61 x 174 x 59 x 172; Public-maintained road
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Cooling: Other; Heating: See remarks; Heating fuel: See remarks
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest Elementary (math 11% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,313 of 1,410 statewide, top 93%, 582 students, 100% FRL); Western Alamance Middle (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #209 of 475 statewide, top 45%, 822 students, 49% FRL); Western Alamance High (math 44% / reading 51%, grade D, #331 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,036 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $130k implies a 1199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.30%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,722
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 Wallace St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+2%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $200 | 67 |
| 1020 Lakeside Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 902 (+3%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $222 | 66 |
| 1118 Jackson St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (-6%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $199 | 49 |
| 159 Hazel Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,005 (+14%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $234 | 49 |
| 905 N Park Rd | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (-6%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 903 N Park Rd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+4%) | 15mo | $116,000 | $127 | 44 |
| 1116 Rauhut St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 948 (+8%) | 19mo | $214,000 | $226 | 38 |
| 1214 Macon St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,004 (+14%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $189 | 34 |
| 1204 Jackson St | 0.50mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 765 (-13%) | 17mo | $130,000 | $170 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-11,355
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,995
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27217
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $1,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Camden St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 654 Lakeside Ave Unit 654 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,125 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 824 Chandler Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,275 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 525 Lakeside Ave Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1013 Attica St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,245 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1322 Elm St Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 848 | $1,550 | $1.83 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1331 Elm St Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,475 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 306 N Ireland St Unit 306 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,250 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 317 Caswell St Unit 2 Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1615 Cadiz St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1055 Baldwin Ridge Rd Burlington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,512 | $1.48 | 13d | 19 | 1.47mi |
| 1128 Ava St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 149-char remark
-
2026-06-05$129,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,000 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,065 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$65/yr (+$5/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,338
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,000
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$43
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #7396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 88,508
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,406
- Household income
- $51,950
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1040.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.45%
- Current HPI
- 259.8107
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+293.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $129,900 Triad MLS
- 2006-11-10 Sold (MLS) $10,000 AMLSNC
- 2006-11-10 Sold (MLS) $10,000 TMLS
- 2006-08-21 Listed $13,900 AMLSNC
- 2006-08-21 Listed $13,900 TMLS
- 2006-03-28 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2006-03-28 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2005-12-07 Listed $29,900 TMLS
- 2005-10-17 Listed $27,900 TMLS
- 2005-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,000 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…